Citi Trends (CTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTRN - Citi Trends, Inc.
$60.62
-3.34 (-5.22%)
▼
5d:
-12.32%
30d:
-18.1%
90d:
+26.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CTRN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CTRN is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CTRN is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.65
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRN is currently trading at $60.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.10 to $73.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 69.3) compared to its historical average (60.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRN scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.00 (+50.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTRN scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.00 (+50.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$67.10 -
$73.93
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.1% below Wall St target ($91.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 4.8% growth expectation is conservative given 739% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.10 -
$73.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.90
Resistance Level
$71.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
69.28
Wall Street Target
$91.00
(+50.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
739.3%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
69.3 vs 60.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.53
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$66.58
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$69.77
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 69→60)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 3.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $16.64
Bull Case
$73.20
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 3.8
Base Case
$60.62
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 3.6
Bear Case
$46.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 3.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Margaret L Jenkins
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-06
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$170 | 51 HOLD |
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$127 | 37 SELL |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$270 | 62 BUY |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$365 | 52 HOLD |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$222 | 41 HOLD |
