CTRN
Citi Trends, Inc.
RETAIL-APPAREL & ACCESSORY STORES
Citi Trends (CTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$46.38
+0.82 (+1.80%)
▲
5d:
-19.73%
30d:
-6.47%
90d:
-37.78%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$45.65 – $51.33
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
53.0x
CHEAP
vs 59.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$91.00
+96.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.75 / $59.52
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CTRN is down 19.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.65
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTRN is currently trading at $46.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.65 to $51.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.0) compared to its historical average (59.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 739.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.75, while resistance sits at $59.52.
Market Sentiment: CTRN scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.00 (+96.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.75, while resistance sits at $59.52.
Market Sentiment: CTRN scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.00 (+96.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$45.65 -
$51.33
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.65 -
$51.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$43.75
Resistance Level
$59.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 96.2% below Wall St target ($91.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -19.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
53.01
Wall Street Target
$91.00
(+96.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
739.3%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
53.0 vs 59.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.57
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$42.83
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$41.16
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→60)
$46.36
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 3.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $12.73
Bull Case
$56.00
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 3.8
Base Case
$46.38
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 3.6
Bear Case
$35.48
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 3.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.0 to 59.7
Stabilization Target:
$52.24
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CTRN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 16, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $CTRN with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive market sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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