CTVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTVA - Corteva, Inc. Common Stock
$79.11
0.25 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
+4.49%
30d:
+0.09%
90d:
+1.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.08
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTVA is currently trading at $79.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.10 to $79.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.5) is in line with its historical norms (24.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTVA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.05 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTVA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.05 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$76.10 -
$79.90
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($90.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.10 -
$79.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.42
Resistance Level
$79.41
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.51
Wall Street Target
$90.05
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
24.5 vs 24.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.33
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$79.81
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$80.29
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.5, Growth: -14.0%)
$57.49
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -14.0%)
$51.09
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -14.0%)
$43.42
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.85
Bull Case
$150.35
(+91%)
Analyst growth 73.9%, PE expands to 46.7
Base Case
$136.68
(+73%)
Market implied 73.9%, PE stable at 42.5
Bear Case
$53.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Titus
SELL
8311 shares
2026-02-20
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-06
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