What is the fair value of CTVA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CTVA to be between $76.79 and $85.56. The current price is $83.90.

What is the analyst price target for CTVA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CTVA is $92.10. This implies a potential upside of 9.8% from current levels.

Corteva (CTVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CTVA - Corteva, Inc. Common Stock

Agricultural Production-Crops

$83.90

-0.59 (-0.70%) ▼

5d: -5.33%

30d: +11.08%

90d: +12.08%

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LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $85.35 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 4.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CTVA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -9.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$71.25

Based on -2.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$44.24

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CTVA is currently trading at $83.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.79 to $85.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.6) is in line with its historical norms (24.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CTVA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $76.79 - $85.56

Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 63.8%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($92.10)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with -1.2% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $76.79 - $85.56

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $82.06

Resistance Level $90.87

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.64

Wall Street Target $92.10 (+9.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -9.9%

Profit Margin 5.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium

PE vs Historical 24.6 vs 24.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $84.40 (+1%)

2-Year Target $84.91 (+1%)

3-Year Target $85.42 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→24) PE COMPRESSION $83.89 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 24.6, Growth: -9.5%) $62.11 (+-26%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -9.5%) $50.84 (-39%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -9.5%) $43.22 (-49%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 20.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.16

Bull Case $101.31 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.2

Base Case $83.90 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.2

Bear Case $64.18 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM

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Advanced CTVA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTVA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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