Is NTR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NTR is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of NTR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NTR to be between $68.61 and $75.30. The current price is $69.09.

What is the analyst price target for NTR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NTR is $77.37. This implies a potential upside of 12.0% from current levels.

Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares (NTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares

Agricultural Chemicals

$69.09

0.97 (1.42%) ▲

5d: -0.7%

30d: -8.04%

90d: +1.45%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your NTR Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 11d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $68.97 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 1.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$81.47

Based on 2.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$50.59

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $69.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.61 to $75.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $66.91, while resistance sits at $71.30.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.37 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $68.61 - $75.30

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.37)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $68.61 - $75.30

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $66.91

Resistance Level $71.30

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.69

Wall Street Target $77.37 (+12.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.2%

Profit Margin 8.7%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 14.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $68.40 (-1%)

2-Year Target $67.72 (-2%)

3-Year Target $67.04 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $69.04 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.5%) $104.93 (+52%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 1.5%) $72.34 (+5%)

Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: 1.5%) $61.49 (-11%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 13.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.87

Bull Case $77.64 (+12%)

Analyst growth 3.6%, PE expands to 15.4

Base Case $70.58 (+2%)

Market implied 3.6%, PE stable at 14.0

Bear Case $46.32 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 14.1

Stabilization Target: $71.15 (+3.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.0%

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM

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Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares

Agricultural Chemicals

About

Created in 2018 as a result of the merger between PotashCorp and Agrium, Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer by capacity. Nutrien produces the three main crop nutrients—nitrogen, potash, and phosphate—although its main focus is potash, where it is the global leader in installed capacity with a roughly 20% market share. The company is also the largest agricultural retailer in North America and Australia, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, seeds, and services directly to farm customers through its brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $27,515,613,242

Employees: 25,500

Listed Since: 1989-11-02

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001725964

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