Is NTR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, NTR is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of NTR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NTR to be between $67.26 and $77.82. The current price is $78.45.

What is the analyst price target for NTR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NTR is $76.43. This implies a potential upside of -2.6% from current levels.

Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares (NTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NTR - Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares

Agricultural Chemicals

$78.45

-0.29 (-0.37%) ▼

5d: -2.82%

30d: +16.78%

90d: +19.66%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $80.29 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -1.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$72.30

Based on 1.1% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$44.90

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NTR is currently trading at $78.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.26 to $77.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NTR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.14, while resistance sits at $82.55.

Market Sentiment: NTR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $67.26 - $77.82

Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 19.0%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.43)
BEARISH: Market expects 4.5% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $67.26 - $77.82

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $73.14

Resistance Level $82.55

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.03

Wall Street Target $76.43 (-2.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.2%

Profit Margin 8.7%

Valuation Premium vs History +4.5% premium

PE vs Historical 16.0 vs 14.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $81.98 (+5%)

2-Year Target $85.67 (+9%)

3-Year Target $89.52 (+14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→14) PE COMPRESSION $78.20 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.8%) $93.57 (+19%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: -1.8%) $74.35 (-5%)

Bear: (PE: 13.6, Growth: -1.8%) $63.20 (-19%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 16.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.82

Bull Case $87.96 (+12%)

Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 18.0

Base Case $79.96 (+2%)

Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 16.3

Bear Case $53.54 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM

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Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares

Agricultural Chemicals

About

Created in 2018 as a result of the merger between PotashCorp and Agrium, Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer by capacity. Nutrien produces the three main crop nutrients—nitrogen, potash, and phosphate—although its main focus is potash, where it is the global leader in installed capacity with a roughly 20% market share. The company is also the largest agricultural retailer in North America and Australia, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, seeds, and services directly to farm customers through its brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.

Exchange: XNYS

Market Cap: $27,515,613,242

Employees: 25,500

Listed Since: 1989-11-02

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001725964

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