DOLE Dole plc Agricultural Production-Crops

Dole (DOLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$14.06
+0.08 (+0.57%) ▲
5d: +7.49% 30d: +5.63% 90d: +8.32%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$12.95 – $13.63
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.7x FAIR
vs 9.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.95
+27.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.94 / $14.44
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.93
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.24
1.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOLE is currently trading at $14.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.95 to $13.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOLE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DOLE scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.95 (+27.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $12.95 - $13.63
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 29.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $12.95 - $13.63
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $12.94
Resistance Level $14.44
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($17.95)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.70
Wall Street Target $17.95 (+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 183.1%
Profit Margin 0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 9.7 vs 9.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.14 (+1%)
2-Year Target $14.23 (+1%)
3-Year Target $14.31 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $14.01 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.7%) $46.88 (+234%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 17.7%) $22.91 (+63%)
Bear: (PE: 8.2, Growth: 17.7%) $19.47 (+39%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case $22.73 (+62%)
Analyst growth 47.8%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case $20.67 (+47%)
Market implied 47.8%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case $9.51 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DOLE)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Mission Produce ($DOLE) is set to benefit from higher avocado production in Peru and the integration of Calavo, which is expected to support growth and improve operating efficiencies. However, abundant industry supplies and pricing pressure remain concerns.
Key Retail Themes: Company growth from Peru's harvest and Calavo integration Elevated industry supplies and pricing pressure
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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