Dole (DOLE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOLE - Dole plc
$12.64
-0.07 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
-2.02%
30d:
-8.74%
90d:
-9.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOLE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.87
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.96
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOLE is currently trading at $12.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.96 to $13.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 183.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOLE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.44 (+38.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOLE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.44 (+38.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.96 -
$13.79
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.0% below Wall St target ($17.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.96 -
$13.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.59
Resistance Level
$13.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.53
Wall Street Target
$17.44
(+38.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
183.1%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 9.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.15
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.67
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$11.22
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$12.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$42.45
(+236%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$17.75
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 12.0%)
$15.08
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$27.96
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$25.42
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$8.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.23
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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