DRVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$12.27
-0.41 (-3.23%)
▼
5d:
-8.64%
30d:
-5.54%
90d:
+14.14%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.05
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.79
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $12.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.86 to $13.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 444.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.01 (+38.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.01 (+38.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.86 -
$13.86
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.6% below Wall St target ($17.01)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.86 -
$13.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.64
Resistance Level
$14.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.26
Wall Street Target
$17.01
(+38.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
444.1%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.52
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.82
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$10.16
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$12.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.8%)
$58.49
(+377%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 21.8%)
$22.17
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 21.8%)
$18.85
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$24.10
(+96%)
Analyst growth 72.8%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$21.91
(+79%)
Market implied 72.8%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$8.62
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$14.86
(+21.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott L O'melia
SELL
46875 shares
2026-01-21
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