DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
SERVICES-AUTOMOTIVE REPAIR, SERVICES & PARKING
Driven Brands (DRVN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.10
-0.16 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
+7.22%
30d:
+2.72%
90d:
-2.81%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$11.53 – $12.08
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.8x
FAIR
vs 9.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.83
+22.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.71 / $12.87
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: DRVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.19
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.78
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $12.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.53 to $12.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.71, while resistance sits at $12.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.83 (+22.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.71, while resistance sits at $12.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.83 (+22.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.53 -
$12.08
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.53 -
$12.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$10.71
Resistance Level
$12.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($14.83)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.78
Wall Street Target
$14.83
(+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.0%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.77
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$11.46
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$11.15
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$12.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.5%)
$45.57
(+277%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 18.5%)
$20.15
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 18.5%)
$17.13
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$18.77
(+55%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$17.06
(+41%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$8.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.09
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DRVN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
One bullish StockTwits message highlights $DRVN's strong cash flows and attractive businesses, while no recent news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Cash flows
Attractive businesses
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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