Driven Brands (DRVN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$11.61
-0.20 (-1.69%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.57%
30d:
-9.3%
90d:
-19.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DRVN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DRVN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.14
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.99
22.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $11.61, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.24 to $13.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.09 (+38.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.09 (+38.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.24 -
$13.11
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.6% below Wall St target ($16.09)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.24 -
$13.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.55
Resistance Level
$12.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.08
Wall Street Target
$16.09
(+38.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.0%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 9.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.93
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.28
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.67
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â10)
$11.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.5%)
$49.97
(+330%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 19.5%)
$19.80
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 19.5%)
$16.83
(+45%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$18.85
(+62%)
Analyst growth 45.1%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$17.14
(+48%)
Market implied 45.1%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$8.03
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.93
(+20.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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