Driven Brands (DRVN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DRVN - Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock
$12.15
-0.15 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-10.53%
30d:
-2.41%
90d:
-12.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DRVN is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DRVN is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.64
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.30
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DRVN is currently trading at $12.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.43 to $13.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+36.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DRVN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DRVN scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.61 (+36.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.43 -
$13.73
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.7% below Wall St target ($16.61)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.43 -
$13.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.96
Resistance Level
$13.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.41
Wall Street Target
$16.61
(+36.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.0%
Profit Margin
8.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.55
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.99
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$10.45
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$12.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.7%)
$50.01
(+312%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 19.7%)
$20.85
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 19.7%)
$17.72
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$21.19
(+72%)
Analyst growth 53.7%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$19.26
(+57%)
Market implied 53.7%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$8.52
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.16
(+16.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 5:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DRVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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