Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DSGR - Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Common Stock
$34.75
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.06%
30d:
-0.17%
90d:
+25.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DSGR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DSGR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.60
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DSGR is currently trading at $34.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.72 to $34.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$34.72 -
$34.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DSGR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.72 -
$34.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.24
(0.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.63
Resistance Level
$34.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.80
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.9%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.31
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$37.95
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$39.66
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.7%)
$53.42
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$52.45
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$44.58
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.78
Bull Case
$41.96
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$34.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$26.58
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DSGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DSGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DSGR price and gamma walls.
