DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Common Stock
WHOLESALE-MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$35.08
+0.11 (+0.31%)
▲
5d:
+0.17%
30d:
+0.03%
90d:
+0.63%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$34.99 – $35.07
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.0x
FAIR
vs 17.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$35.00
-0.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
100th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$34.90 / $35.17
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DSGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.70
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DSGR is currently trading at $35.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.99 to $35.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.99 -
$35.07
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
100th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$34.99 -
$35.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.43
(15.5%)
Support Level
$34.90
Resistance Level
$35.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.99
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(-0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.3%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.45
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$37.87
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$39.35
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$52.94
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$52.60
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$44.71
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.79
Bull Case
$42.36
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$35.08
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$26.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DSGR)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
TestEquity expands environmental chamber sales through a new representation agreement with Millennium Alliance in the Midwest, which is expected to strengthen local support and drive growth.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DSGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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