Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DSGR - Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Common Stock
$35.07
0.02 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
-0.06%
30d:
+0.34%
90d:
+1.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DSGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DSGR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.42
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DSGR is currently trading at $35.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.89 to $35.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.89 -
$35.07
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
14th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Protect Your Profits
DSGR is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.89 -
$35.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.87
(8.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.03
Resistance Level
$35.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.98
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(-0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.9%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.51
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$38.00
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$39.56
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$52.93
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$52.60
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$44.71
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.79
Bull Case
$42.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$35.07
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$26.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DSGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DSGR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DSGR price and gamma walls.
