Ennis (EBF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EBF - Ennis, Inc.

Manifold Business Forms
$22.53
-0.39 (-1.70%) â–ŧ
5d: +0.76%
30d: +0.99%
90d: +3.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: EBF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.44
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.80
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EBF is currently trading at $22.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.74 to $22.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EBF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: EBF scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $21.74 - $22.67
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 3.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.74 - $22.67
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.99
Resistance Level $23.09
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.33
Wall Street Target $24.00 (+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.5%
Profit Margin 9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 14.3 vs 13.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.58 (+3%)
2-Year Target $24.27 (+6%)
3-Year Target $24.97 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $22.84 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.9%) $35.64 (+56%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 3.9%) $25.70 (+12%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 3.9%) $21.85 (-5%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case $25.93 (+13%)
Analyst growth 4.6%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case $23.57 (+3%)
Market implied 4.6%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case $15.33 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 PM
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NEUTRAL

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