Eagle Bancorp Montana (EBMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EBMT - Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc
$21.66
-0.05 (-0.23%)
▼
5d:
-4.29%
30d:
-5.21%
90d:
-8.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EBMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EBMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.04
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EBMT is currently trading at $21.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.10 to $23.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $21.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EBMT scores 14/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $21.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EBMT scores 14/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.10 -
$23.02
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (14/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.10 -
$23.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.42
Resistance Level
$22.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.97
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.42
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$21.19
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$20.95
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$21.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$53.76
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 6.7%)
$26.32
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 6.7%)
$22.37
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$25.32
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$23.02
(+6%)
Market implied 6.0%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$14.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$22.38
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 11:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EBMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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