EBMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EBMT - Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$22.68
0.58 (2.62%) ▲
5d: +1.61%
30d: +0.58%
90d: +5.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EBMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.28
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.94
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EBMT is currently trading at $22.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.95 to $22.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $21.95 - $22.61
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($23.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.95 - $22.61
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.59
Resistance Level $22.80
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.57
Wall Street Target $23.50 (+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.3%
Profit Margin 16.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 10.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.07 (+2%)
2-Year Target $23.46 (+3%)
3-Year Target $23.86 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $22.81 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.4%) $55.07 (+143%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 5.4%) $26.56 (+17%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 5.4%) $22.57 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case $26.09 (+15%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case $23.72 (+5%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case $15.03 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 05, 2026 8:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Samuel Waters SELL 2100 shares 2026-02-20
Peter Joseph Johnson SELL 3355 shares 2026-02-11
Peter Joseph Johnson SELL 4192 shares 2026-02-10

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