Eagle Bancorp Montana (EBMT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$20.58
-0.16 (-0.77%)
▼
5d:
-2.42%
30d:
-0.82%
90d:
-12.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$20.70 – $21.31
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.0x
CHEAP
vs 10.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.00
+16.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.44 / $21.91
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EBMT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.99
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.21
15.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EBMT is currently trading at $20.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.70 to $21.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.70 -
$21.31
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.70 -
$21.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$20.44
Resistance Level
$21.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.99
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.4%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.72
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$18.89
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$18.09
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$20.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.8%)
$74.42
(+262%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 17.8%)
$33.68
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 17.8%)
$28.63
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.97
Bull Case
$26.52
(+29%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$24.11
(+17%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$14.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$23.36
(+13.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.5%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 11:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL
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