ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. OPERATIVE BUILDERS Best Homebuilders Stocks 2026 →

Everus Construction Group (ECG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$89.11
+3.38 (+3.94%) ▲
5d: +11.79% 30d: -24.71% 90d: -35.19%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$94.73 – $123.30
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.7x CHEAP
vs 24.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$158.50
+77.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$70.44 / $113.49
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ECG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$257.19
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.69
44.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ECG is currently trading at $89.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.73 to $123.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ECG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $70.44, while resistance sits at $113.49. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: ECG scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.50 (+77.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $94.73 - $123.30
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 95.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $94.73 - $123.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $70.44
Resistance Level $113.49
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 77.9% below Wall St target ($158.50)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.74
Wall Street Target $158.50 (+77.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 61.3%
Profit Margin 6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -19.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 24.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -19.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.20 (-10%)
2-Year Target $72.18 (-19%)
3-Year Target $64.96 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→24) $124.39 (+40%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.2%) $201.25 (+126%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 13.2%) $129.12 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 13.2%) $109.76 (+23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.74
Bull Case $114.89 (+29%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case $104.45 (+17%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case $58.30 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 24.4
Stabilization Target: $170.64 (+91.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +91.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ECG)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Everus Construction Group saw a bullish reaction on StockTwits after the announcement of a Q3 earnings beat and the acquisition of Epsilon Industries. The news article discusses the impact of these developments on Everus Construction Group's earnings, project mix, and integration risk.
Key Retail Themes: Earnings beat and growth potential Broadened capabilities with Epsilon acquisition
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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