Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$34.38
+0.08 (+0.23%)
▲
5d:
+2.29%
30d:
+25.25%
90d:
+19.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$28.46 – $34.01
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.9x
STRETCHED
vs 11.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$36.58
+6.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.10 / $35.05
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EGBN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EGBN is currently trading at $34.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.46 to $34.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGBN scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGBN scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.46 -
$34.01
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.46 -
$34.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$33.10
Resistance Level
$35.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.58)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.6% growth expectation is conservative given 768% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.87
Wall Street Target
$36.58
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
767.6%
Profit Margin
17.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 11.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.99
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$39.80
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$42.83
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.4%)
$99.50
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 26.4%)
$69.50
(+102%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 26.4%)
$55.61
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$65.85
(+92%)
Analyst growth 74.5%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$59.86
(+74%)
Market implied 74.5%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$23.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EGBN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) due to upward trend in earnings estimates, which could positively impact stock price.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive earnings estimate revisions
CEO's stock purchase
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EGBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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