Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EGBN - Eagle Bancorp Inc
$27.60
-0.13 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
-4.03%
90d:
-2.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EGBN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EGBN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.42
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EGBN is currently trading at $27.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.43 to $28.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGBN scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGBN scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$27.43 -
$28.39
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.43 -
$28.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.52
Resistance Level
$28.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.22
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
767.6%
Profit Margin
-34.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.90
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.21
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$28.52
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.71
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 69.0%)
$167.46
(+507%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 69.0%)
$93.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 69.0%)
$79.18
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EGBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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