Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EGBN - Eagle Bancorp Inc
$33.68
0.71 (2.15%)
▲
5d:
+18.8%
30d:
+18.93%
90d:
+19.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: EGBN is 12.9% above its trading range ($29.84). Market expects 6.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: EGBN is 12.9% above its trading range ($29.84). Market expects 6.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EGBN is currently trading at $33.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.22 to $29.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $34.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGBN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EGBN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $34.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EGBN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.22 -
$29.84
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
14.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.9% growth expectation is conservative given 768% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.22 -
$29.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.35
Resistance Level
$34.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.38
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(-3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
767.6%
Profit Margin
-34.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.9% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 11.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.00
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$38.49
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$41.14
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.84
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 55.9%)
$168.78
(+401%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 55.9%)
$113.67
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 55.9%)
$93.48
(+178%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EGBN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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