Extra Space Storage (EXR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXR - Extra Space Storage, Inc.
$133.25
0.17 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
-4.77%
90d:
-8.82%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.91
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXR is currently trading at $133.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.90 to $141.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.7) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $130.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.50 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $130.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.50 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$133.90 -
$141.94
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($158.50)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 20% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$133.90 -
$141.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.64
Resistance Level
$138.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.69
Wall Street Target
$158.50
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 29.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.58
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$127.97
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$125.41
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→29)
$133.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 3.3%)
$146.75
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 3.3%)
$108.11
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 3.3%)
$91.89
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case
$153.80
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 32.0
Base Case
$139.82
(+5%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 29.1
Bear Case
$90.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.7 to 29.4
Stabilization Target:
$141.47
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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