EXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXR - Extra Space Storage, Inc.
$147.76
1.68 (1.15%)
▲
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+2.68%
90d:
+12.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EXR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EXR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.73
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXR is currently trading at $147.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.24 to $147.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.1) is in line with its historical norms (29.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $150.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $150.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$141.24 -
$147.42
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($155.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 3.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$141.24 -
$147.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$139.88
Resistance Level
$150.40
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.15
Wall Street Target
$155.70
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.6%
Profit Margin
27.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.2 vs 29.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$151.16
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$154.64
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$158.19
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$147.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.1, Growth: 4.7%)
$169.59
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.7%)
$118.59
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.7%)
$100.80
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.45
Bull Case
$170.42
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.6%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$154.93
(+6%)
Market implied 6.6%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$98.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Joseph D Margolis
SELL
7500 shares
2026-03-13
Julia Letlow
BUY
2026-02-12
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