Extra Space Storage (EXR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$158.20
-1.01 (-0.63%)
▼
5d:
-1.2%
30d:
+17.99%
90d:
+6.96%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect EXR Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$133.98 – $153.87
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.7x
FAIR
vs 29.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$160.25
+1.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$149.88 / $163.18
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.95
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXR is currently trading at $158.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.98 to $153.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.7) compared to its historical average (29.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $149.88, while resistance sits at $163.18.
Market Sentiment: EXR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $149.88, while resistance sits at $163.18.
Market Sentiment: EXR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$133.98 -
$153.87
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$133.98 -
$153.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$149.88
Resistance Level
$163.18
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
EXR is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($160.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.67
Wall Street Target
$160.25
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.3%
Profit Margin
29.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
32.7 vs 29.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$163.74
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$169.47
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$175.40
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$158.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.7, Growth: 3.9%)
$177.42
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$107.87
(-32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$91.69
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$172.04
(+9%)
Analyst growth -1.8%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$156.40
(-1%)
Market implied -1.8%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$108.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share EXR Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EXR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Extra Space Storage reported Q3 2026 earnings, beating NOI growth but missing EPS estimates. The company announced a leadership transition and repurchased shares.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings report showing NOI growth and leadership transition
Missed EPS estimates and share buybacks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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