Extra Space Storage (EXR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXR - Extra Space Storage, Inc.
$137.64
1.19 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
-6.21%
90d:
-8.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.97
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXR is currently trading at $137.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.26 to $148.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $135.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.50 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $135.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $158.50 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$140.26 -
$148.91
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($158.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.26 -
$148.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$135.16
Resistance Level
$143.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.63
Wall Street Target
$158.50
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.6 vs 29.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$136.26
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$134.90
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$133.55
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→30)
$137.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.6, Growth: 4.5%)
$157.11
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.5%)
$110.67
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 4.5%)
$94.07
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.56
Bull Case
$158.22
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.4%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$143.84
(+5%)
Market implied 5.4%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$92.79
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.6 to 29.5
Stabilization Target:
$141.80
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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