ENPH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ENPH - Enphase Energy, Inc.
$44.89
1.87 (4.35%)
▲
5d:
-4.16%
30d:
-21.08%
90d:
+37.87%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
17d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
Get Alerted When ENPH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called ENPH this week
67% bullish • 1 bearish
67% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENPH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENPH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.46
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENPH is currently trading at $44.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.29 to $60.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENPH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $40.93, while resistance sits at $54.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ENPH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENPH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $40.93, while resistance sits at $54.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ENPH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.29 -
$60.01
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.55)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with -20.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.29 -
$60.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.93
Resistance Level
$54.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.61
Wall Street Target
$48.55
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-36.4%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.10
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$47.35
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$48.63
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.6%)
$83.24
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 16.6%)
$71.13
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 16.6%)
$60.46
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case
$94.64
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.9
Base Case
$86.04
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.6
Bear Case
$29.25
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 10, 2026 9:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ENPH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thurman J Rodgers
SELL
137250 shares
2026-03-13
Richard Mora
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-10
Badrinarayanan Kothandar…
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-05
Featured in Portfolios
ENPH is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Solar Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Solar by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FSLR
First Solar Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$247 | 50 HOLD |
|
NXT
Nextracker Inc. Class A … |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$151 | 48 HOLD |
|
RUN
Sunrun Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$19 | 51 HOLD |
|
ARRY
Array Technologies Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$10 | 49 HOLD |
|
SHLS
Shoals Technologies Grou… |
BUY
21 analysts |
$11 | 56 HOLD |
Advanced ENPH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ENPH price and gamma walls.
