Enphase Energy (ENPH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$27.64
-1.44 (-4.95%)
▼
5d:
-9.14%
30d:
-12.23%
90d:
-32.21%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect ENPH Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (78%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$28.06 – $32.86
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.3x
FAIR
vs 16.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$40.58
+46.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.83 / $34.30
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ENPH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $27.93 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.52
Based on -4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENPH is currently trading at $27.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.06 to $32.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENPH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.83, while resistance sits at $34.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.58 (+46.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENPH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $23.83, while resistance sits at $34.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.58 (+46.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.06 -
$32.86
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.06 -
$32.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$23.83
Resistance Level
$34.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ENPH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 46.8% below Wall St target ($40.58)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with -28.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.29
Wall Street Target
$40.58
(+46.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.2%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.94
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$30.30
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$31.72
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -13.8%)
$20.75
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: -13.8%)
$20.15
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: -13.8%)
$17.13
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$63.98
(+132%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.0
Base Case
$58.16
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.8
Bear Case
$19.77
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ENPH)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish trader on StockTwits is optimistic about $ENPH's potential to reach a billion-dollar market cap, citing profits and a recent acquisition. The latest Yahoo Finance news reports T1 Energy's Q3 earnings expectations, improved cost structure, and increased production run rates.
Key Retail Themes:
Company Acquisition
Earnings Expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ENPH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
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