FSLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSLR - First Solar, Inc.
$214.28
0.22 (0.10%)
â˛
5d:
-5.0%
30d:
+4.06%
90d:
-13.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 14, 2026 at $227.32 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FSLR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FSLR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$448.45
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$278.45
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLR is currently trading at $214.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.87 to $233.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $211.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSLR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $273.54 (+27.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $211.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FSLR scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $273.54 (+27.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$205.87 -
$233.81
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($273.54)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.87 -
$233.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$211.53
Resistance Level
$251.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.30
Wall Street Target
$273.54
(+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Profit Margin
32.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$209.35
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$204.54
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$199.83
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$214.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 31.7%)
$1056.46
(+393%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 31.7%)
$489.80
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 31.7%)
$416.33
(+94%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.42
Bull Case
$470.93
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.0
Base Case
$428.12
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$145.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$230.29
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kuntal Kumar Verma
SELL
573 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Alexander R Bradley
SELL
14106 shares
2026-03-17
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Advanced FSLR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLR price and gamma walls.
