NXT
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock
SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
Nextracker (NXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$99.82
-5.07 (-4.83%)
▼
5d:
+3.96%
30d:
+17.63%
90d:
-3.71%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect NXT Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
28/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$77.98 – $95.57
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.4x
FAIR
vs 22.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$127.14
+27.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$76.60 / $115.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $92.41 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.65
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXT is currently trading at $99.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.98 to $95.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.60, while resistance sits at $115.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NXT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.14 (+27.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.60, while resistance sits at $115.00. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NXT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.14 (+27.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.98 -
$95.57
Company Quality Score
28/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$77.98 -
$95.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$76.60
Resistance Level
$115.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding NXT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($127.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 28/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.42
Wall Street Target
$127.14
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.12
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$96.45
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$94.82
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$100.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.4, Growth: 6.4%)
$120.23
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.4%)
$111.45
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.4%)
$94.73
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.97
Bull Case
$135.41
(+36%)
Analyst growth 17.4%, PE expands to 29.1
Base Case
$123.10
(+23%)
Market implied 17.4%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case
$71.33
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 22.6
Stabilization Target:
$105.30
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NXT)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Solar stocks are rebounding ahead of earnings reports, with Enphase Energy leading the way. However, Enphase's CEO warned of no meaningful recovery in U.S. demand due to higher interest rates and the expiration of tax credits.
Key Retail Themes:
Solar stock rebound
Enphase Energy's U.S. demand warning
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NXT price and gamma walls.
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