ERII
Energy Recovery, Inc.
SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC
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Energy Recovery (ERII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.17
-0.16 (-2.18%)
▼
5d:
+6.86%
30d:
+6.86%
90d:
-14.13%
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Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect ERII Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$6.68 – $7.15
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.3x
STRETCHED
vs 15.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.50
+4.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
26th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.25 / $7.72
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ERII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.57
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERII is currently trading at $7.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.68 to $7.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.25, while resistance sits at $7.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.25, while resistance sits at $7.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.68 -
$7.15
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$6.68 -
$7.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.73
(10.2%)
Support Level
$6.25
Resistance Level
$7.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ERII? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.31
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-65.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.3 vs 15.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.25
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$9.50
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$10.93
(+53%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 22.88 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.31
Bull Case
$8.66
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$7.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$5.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ERII)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
JustinSS55, a bullish trader with 8686 followers on StockTwits, posted a message indicating a potential play on $TE, $WEN, $MU, and $ERII. No recent news articles were available for $ERII.
Key Retail Themes:
$ERII mentioned in a potential play with other stocks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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