Element Solutions (ESI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$37.79
1.46 (4.02%)
▲
5d:
+5.82%
30d:
+9.76%
90d:
-10.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ESI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.58
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.24
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $37.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.46 to $36.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.73 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ESI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.73 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.46 -
$36.28
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($46.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.46 -
$36.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.54
Resistance Level
$36.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.23
Wall Street Target
$46.73
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.9%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.82
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.32
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$34.83
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$36.38
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.5%)
$68.00
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 16.5%)
$57.43
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 16.5%)
$48.81
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$79.82
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$72.56
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.0
Bear Case
$24.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$37.96
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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