Expensify (EXFY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1.86
+0.08 (+4.49%)
▲
5d:
-16.59%
30d:
-24.08%
90d:
-19.13%
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Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$2.22 – $2.53
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.5x
FAIR
vs 16.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$2.83
+52.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1.65 / $2.44
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: EXFY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXFY is currently trading at $1.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.22 to $2.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2755.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXFY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.65, while resistance sits at $2.44. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.83 (+52.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXFY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $1.65, while resistance sits at $2.44. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.83 (+52.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.22 -
$2.53
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.22 -
$2.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$1.65
Resistance Level
$2.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.3% below Wall St target ($2.83)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-16.6%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.50
Wall Street Target
$2.83
(+52.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2755.3%
Profit Margin
-12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 16.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.82
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$1.79
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$1.76
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$1.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -7.7%)
$1.87
(+1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: -7.7%)
$1.46
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: -7.7%)
$1.24
(-33%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$1.97
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EXFY)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment towards $EXFY with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
StockTwits sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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