EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
EXPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$195.67
+1.08 (+0.56%)
▲
5d:
+3.6%
30d:
-0.36%
90d:
+5.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (79%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$191.30 – $199.26
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.0x
FAIR
vs 23.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$193.73
-1.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$184.22 / $207.93
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXPD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Get Alerted When EXPD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$248.64
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$154.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPD is currently trading at $195.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $191.30 to $199.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.0) is in line with its historical norms (23.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.22, while resistance sits at $207.93.
Market Sentiment: EXPD scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.22, while resistance sits at $207.93.
Market Sentiment: EXPD scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$191.30 -
$199.26
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$191.30 -
$199.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$184.22
Resistance Level
$207.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($193.73)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.03
Wall Street Target
$193.73
(-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.6%
Profit Margin
7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 23.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$190.78
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$186.01
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$181.36
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→24)
$195.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 2.6%)
$211.51
(+8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.6%)
$190.68
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 2.6%)
$162.08
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.09
Bull Case
$235.01
(+20%)
Analyst growth 9.8%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$213.65
(+9%)
Market implied 9.8%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$132.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.0 to 23.8
Stabilization Target:
$211.40
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share EXPD Analysis
Share this live EXPD analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EXPD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Expeditors International of Washington's stock price around $204 is being questioned for its justification by cash flows in light of recent earnings and dividend data, as well as demand from AI hyperscaler customers.
Key Retail Themes:
Cash flow justification
Earnings and dividend data
AI demand
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 10:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EXPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Integrated Freight & Logistics Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Integrated Freight & Logistics by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$357 | 35 SELL |
|
CHRW
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$179 | 61 BUY |
|
JBHT
JB Hunt Transport Servic… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$280 | 64 BUY |
|
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$115 | 31 SELL |
|
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$69 | 33 SELL |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive EXPD Research Pages
