FedEx (FDX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDX - FedEx Corporation
$311.99
0.19 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
-3.8%
30d:
-4.52%
90d:
-7.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 12, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $322.52 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
Get Alerted When FDX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FDX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FDX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$333.37
Based on 1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$207.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDX is currently trading at $311.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $314.92 to $332.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.0) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $306.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDX scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $355.10 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $306.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDX scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $355.10 (+13.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$314.92 -
$332.26
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FDX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($355.10)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$314.92 -
$332.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$306.79
Resistance Level
$334.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.00
Wall Street Target
$355.10
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$311.05
(0%)
2-Year Target
$310.12
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$309.19
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$313.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.8%)
$372.68
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: -1.8%)
$295.57
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: -1.8%)
$251.24
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.71
Bull Case
$357.52
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.2%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$325.02
(+4%)
Market implied 4.2%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$212.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$315.95
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FDX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tracy B Brightman
SELL
16959 shares
2026-04-15
Susan C Schwab
SELL
5795 shares
2026-04-15
Gina F Adams
SELL
20450 shares
2026-04-14
Top Rated Integrated Freight & Logistics Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Integrated Freight & Logistics by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$28 | 57 HOLD |
|
CHRW
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$200 | 59 HOLD |
|
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc |
BUY
32 analysts |
$116 | 36 SELL |
|
JBHT
JB Hunt Transport Servic… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$305 | 55 HOLD |
|
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$69 | 43 HOLD |
Advanced FDX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FDX price and gamma walls.
