FDX
FedEx Corporation
AIR COURIER SERVICES
FedEx (FDX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$322.63
+3.15 (+0.99%)
â˛
5d:
-2.06%
30d:
+11.03%
90d:
-4.93%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect FDX Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (44%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$287.86 â $310.19
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.5x
FAIR
vs 16.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$356.62
+10.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$300.61 / $332.00
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FDX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $309.06 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$329.26
Based on 1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$204.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDX is currently trading at $322.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $287.86 to $310.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $332.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FDX scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $356.62 (+10.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $332.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FDX scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $356.62 (+10.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$287.86 -
$310.19
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$287.86 -
$310.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$300.61
Resistance Level
$332.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($356.62)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 11.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.54
Wall Street Target
$356.62
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.9%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$326.18
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$329.77
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$333.39
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â16)
PE COMPRESSION
$322.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.8%)
$366.95
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -1.8%)
$305.65
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: -1.8%)
$259.81
(-20%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.55
Bull Case
$369.48
(+15%)
Analyst growth 5.1%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$335.89
(+4%)
Market implied 5.1%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$217.25
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FDX)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
FedEx reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings, raising its full-year outlook following the completion of $2 billion in share repurchases.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
share buybacks
revenue and operating income growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:15 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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