EXPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPE - Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
$321.63
-2.54 (-0.78%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.32%
30d:
+24.85%
90d:
+47.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EXPE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EXPE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$464.73
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$288.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPE is currently trading at $321.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $271.18 to $321.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $304.20, while resistance sits at $335.00.
Market Sentiment: EXPE scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $304.20, while resistance sits at $335.00.
Market Sentiment: EXPE scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$271.18 -
$321.76
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($336.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$271.18 -
$321.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$304.20
Resistance Level
$335.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.30
Wall Street Target
$336.23
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
188.7%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$333.21
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$345.20
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$357.63
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$322.77
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 15.9%)
$755.44
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 15.9%)
$500.47
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 15.9%)
$425.40
(+32%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.79
Bull Case
$546.28
(+70%)
Analyst growth 53.2%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$496.62
(+54%)
Market implied 53.2%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$220.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Dzielak
SELL
8225 shares
2026-03-04
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