Expedia Group (EXPE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPE - Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
$265.00
2.33 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
+0.31%
30d:
-13.98%
90d:
-0.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 25, 2026 at $264.17 · last confirmed Sep 30, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EXPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$477.36
Based on 10.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$296.40
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPE is currently trading at $265.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $267.07 to $315.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 188.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $255.07, while resistance sits at $287.12.
Market Sentiment: EXPE scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $338.83 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $255.07, while resistance sits at $287.12.
Market Sentiment: EXPE scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $338.83 (+29.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$267.07 -
$315.65
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.0% below Wall St target ($338.83)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 26% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$267.07 -
$315.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$255.07
Resistance Level
$287.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.74
Wall Street Target
$338.83
(+29.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
188.7%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$253.21
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$244.10
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$235.31
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$263.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.6%)
$790.25
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 16.6%)
$415.89
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 16.6%)
$353.51
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.91
Bull Case
$445.49
(+70%)
Analyst growth 53.8%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$404.99
(+54%)
Market implied 53.8%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$179.08
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$293.59
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EXPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXPE price and gamma walls.
