Is ABNB stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ABNB is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: ABNB is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of ABNB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ABNB to be between $174.63 and $188.16. The current price is $168.32.

What is the analyst price target for ABNB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ABNB is $182.12. This implies a potential upside of 6.7% from current levels.

Airbnb (ABNB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ABNB - Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS

$168.32

-2.33 (-1.37%) ▼

5d: -3.56%

30d: -8.55%

90d: +21.13%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your ABNB Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $181.94 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABNB is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 17.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$255.60

Based on 10.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$158.70

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ABNB is currently trading at $168.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.63 to $188.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ABNB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $165.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $174.63 - $188.16

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 75.7%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($182.12)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $174.63 - $188.16

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $165.83

Resistance Level $187.36

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.44

Wall Street Target $182.13 (+6.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.4%

Profit Margin 20.4%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium

PE vs Historical 27.4 vs 25.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $176.11 (+3%)

2-Year Target $181.75 (+7%)

3-Year Target $187.56 (+10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→25) PE COMPRESSION $170.89 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 27.4, Growth: 17.1%) $273.88 (+61%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.1%) $201.52 (+18%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 17.1%) $171.29 (+0%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 38.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.37

Bull Case $266.42 (+56%)

Analyst growth 42.3%, PE expands to 42.8

Base Case $242.20 (+42%)

Market implied 42.3%, PE stable at 39.0

Bear Case $115.73 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 15, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Nathan Blecharczyk SELL 24788 shares 2026-04-22

Nathan Blecharczyk SELL 10777 shares 2026-04-21

Joseph Gebbia SELL 58000 shares 2026-04-20

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Advanced ABNB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ABNB price and gamma walls.

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