EYE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EYE - National Vision Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$19.29
-0.26 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
-3.41%
30d:
+9.73%
90d:
-24.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Get Alerted When EYE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EYE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.4% annual earnings decline despite 111% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EYE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.4% annual earnings decline despite 111% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.19
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.54
36.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EYE is currently trading at $19.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.67 to $19.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (22.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 111.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EYE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.27 (+51.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EYE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.27 (+51.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.67 -
$19.40
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.8% below Wall St target ($29.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.67 -
$19.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.93
Resistance Level
$17.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.30
Wall Street Target
$29.27
(+51.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
111.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 22.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.36
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.62
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.06
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$19.49
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$47.12
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 22.3%)
$35.27
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 22.3%)
$29.98
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$43.30
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$39.36
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$13.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 22.6
Stabilization Target:
$26.74
(+38.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EYE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
L Reade Fahs
SELL
7601 shares
2026-03-06
L Reade Fahs
SELL
4071 shares
2026-03-06
Top Rated Specialty Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$44 | 56 HOLD |
|
BBY
Best Buy Co. Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$79 | 69 BUY |
|
ULTA
Ulta Beauty Inc |
HOLD
28 analysts |
$624 | 59 HOLD |
|
FIVE
Five Below Inc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$260 | 55 HOLD |
|
DKS
Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc |
BUY
26 analysts |
$250 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced EYE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EYE price and gamma walls.
