National Vision (EYE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EYE - National Vision Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$18.51
0.79 (4.43%)
▲
5d:
+4.78%
30d:
+13.11%
90d:
-7.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EYE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EYE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.00
Based on -0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EYE is currently trading at $18.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.30 to $17.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EYE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+55.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EYE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+55.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.30 -
$17.28
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EYE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.2% below Wall St target ($27.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.30 -
$17.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.31
Resistance Level
$18.13
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.38
Wall Street Target
$27.50
(+55.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.4%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.94
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$16.19
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$15.48
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$17.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.4%)
$16.75
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: -4.4%)
$15.50
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: -4.4%)
$13.17
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$30.26
(+71%)
Analyst growth 55.5%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$27.51
(+55%)
Market implied 55.5%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$12.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$20.25
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 1:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:49 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EYE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EYE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EYE price and gamma walls.
