EYE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EYE - National Vision Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$17.88
-0.51 (-2.77%)
▼
5d:
-7.36%
30d:
-10.56%
90d:
+5.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $18.12 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EYE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EYE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.92
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EYE is currently trading at $17.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.09 to $22.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.73 (+60.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.73 (+60.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.09 -
$22.14
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EYE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.7% below Wall St target ($28.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.09 -
$22.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.70
Resistance Level
$22.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.55
Wall Street Target
$28.73
(+60.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.4%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.95
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$16.07
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$15.23
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$17.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -4.1%)
$17.06
(+-5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: -4.1%)
$15.77
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: -4.1%)
$13.40
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$30.75
(+72%)
Analyst growth 55.5%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$27.96
(+56%)
Market implied 55.5%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$12.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$21.02
(+17.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EYE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
L Reade Fahs
SELL
7601 shares
2026-03-06
L Reade Fahs
SELL
4071 shares
2026-03-06
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Advanced EYE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EYE price and gamma walls.
