EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
OPHTHALMIC GOODS
National Vision (EYE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$18.09
-0.92 (-4.84%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.84%
30d:
+6.16%
90d:
-5.04%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
0d
Protect EYE Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$16.53 â $18.24
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.8x
FAIR
vs 20.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$27.50
+52.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.65 / $19.24
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EYE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $17.85 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.93
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EYE is currently trading at $18.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.53 to $18.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.65, while resistance sits at $19.24. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: EYE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+52.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.65, while resistance sits at $19.24. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: EYE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.50 (+52.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.53 -
$18.24
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.53 -
$18.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$15.65
Resistance Level
$19.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding EYE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 52.0% below Wall St target ($27.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.75
Wall Street Target
$27.50
(+52.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.4%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.46
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$16.85
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$16.26
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â21)
$18.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$16.83
(+-7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$15.89
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$13.51
(-25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$32.54
(+80%)
Analyst growth 55.6%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$29.58
(+64%)
Market implied 55.6%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$12.93
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$20.07
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EYE)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 21, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish trader on StockTwits identifies Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in $EYE's chart, anticipating continued growth. National Vision is expected to report revenue growth in Q1 earnings, but has a history of missing revenue estimates.
Key Retail Themes:
Technical Analysis
Earnings Expectations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
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