Ezcorp (EZPW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EZPW - Ezcorp Inc

RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL
$30.20
0.14 (0.47%) ▲
5d: -3.08%
30d: -7.33%
90d: -14.37%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EZPW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.46
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.36
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EZPW is currently trading at $30.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.33 to $33.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EZPW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.25, while resistance sits at $31.44.

Market Sentiment: EZPW scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.80 (+35.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $30.33 - $33.48
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 92.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.1% below Wall St target ($40.80)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $30.33 - $33.48
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.18 (7.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.25
Resistance Level $31.44
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.63
Wall Street Target $40.80 (+35.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 34.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 41.2%
Profit Margin 10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 14.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.96 (-1%)
2-Year Target $29.72 (-2%)
3-Year Target $29.48 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) $30.27 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.0%) $58.48 (+94%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 9.0%) $39.09 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.0%) $33.22 (+10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case $36.44 (+21%)
Analyst growth 10.2%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case $33.13 (+10%)
Market implied 10.2%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case $20.44 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 14.0
Stabilization Target: $31.01 (+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.7%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced EZPW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EZPW price and gamma walls.

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