What is the fair value of MA stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MA to be between $564.49 and $588.50. The current price is $572.62.

What is the analyst price target for MA?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MA is $670.92. This implies a potential upside of 18.7% from current levels.

Mastercard (MA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MA - Mastercard Incorporated

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$572.63

7.25 (1.28%) ▲

5d: -2.23%

30d: +2.3%

90d: +17.7%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MA Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $579.21 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

Get Alerted When MA Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 15.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$889.85

Based on 9.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$552.53

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MA is currently trading at $572.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $564.49 to $588.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.6) is in line with its historical norms (24.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $563.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: MA scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $670.92 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $564.49 - $588.50

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 55.7%

Protect Your Profits

Holding MA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($670.92)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $564.49 - $588.50

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $563.17

Resistance Level $598.02

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.55

Wall Street Target $670.92 (+18.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 22.1%

Profit Margin 46.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium

PE vs Historical 24.6 vs 24.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $567.63 (+0%)

2-Year Target $569.90 (+1%)

3-Year Target $572.18 (+1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→24) PE COMPRESSION $566.27 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 24.6, Growth: 15.6%) $872.43 (+54%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.6%) $716.67 (+27%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 15.6%) $609.17 (+8%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 31.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.15

Bull Case $791.95 (+40%)

Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 34.4

Base Case $719.95 (+27%)

Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 31.3

Bear Case $385.90 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is MA showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

Shelley Moore Capito BUY 2026-03-28

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-20

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for MA.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Featured in Portfolios

MA is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.

Fintech Disruptors Thematic • -1.7% Return

View All Strategies

Top Rated Credit Services Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Credit Services by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
V Visa Inc. Class A	STRONG BUY 41 analysts	$419	39 SELL
COF Capital One Financial Co…	STRONG BUY 23 analysts	$258	58 HOLD
PYPL PayPal Holdings Inc	HOLD 47 analysts	$57	54 HOLD
AFRM Affirm Holdings Inc	STRONG BUY 24 analysts	$99	51 HOLD
AXP American Express Company	HOLD 30 analysts	$376	53 HOLD

V Visa Inc. Class A

39 SELL

COF Capital One Finan…

58 HOLD

PYPL PayPal Holdings I…

54 HOLD

AFRM Affirm Holdings I…

51 HOLD

AXP American Express …

53 HOLD

Advanced MA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for MA

MA Technical Chart MA Price Prediction MA Earnings Date MA Investment Advisor MA Fair Price Analyzer MA Options Advisor MA Options Chain MA Options Analysis MA Competitors

Compare MA with Peers

MA vs V
Which one to buy?

MA vs AXP
Which one to buy?

MA vs PYPL
Which one to buy?

MA vs CRM
Which one to buy?

MA vs GS
Which one to buy?

TCOM vs MA

MA vs GS

MA vs PDD

MA vs SEZL
Winner: MA

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie