Is F stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, F is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of F stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for F to be between $12.32 and $13.91. The current price is $12.17.

What is the analyst price target for F?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for F is $15.81. This implies a potential upside of 29.9% from current levels.

Ford Motor (F) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

F - Ford Motor Company

MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

$12.17

-0.08 (-0.65%) ▼

5d: +0.58%

30d: -12.32%

90d: -12.13%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your F Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 15d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $12.10 · last confirmed Oct 8, 2026

Strength: 9.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 4.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$18.36

Based on 4.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$11.40

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $12.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.32 to $13.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: F scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.81 (+29.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $12.32 - $13.91

Company Quality Score 79/100 (STRONG BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (88/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($15.81)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.32 - $13.91

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.91

Resistance Level $12.67

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.25

Wall Street Target $15.81 (+29.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 430.8%

Profit Margin -3.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 6.3 vs 7.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.39 (-6%)

2-Year Target $10.66 (-12%)

3-Year Target $9.98 (-18%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→8) $12.14 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.8%) $44.51 (+266%)

Base: (SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 4.8%) $14.00 (+15%)

Bear: (PE: 5.3, Growth: 4.8%) $11.90 (-2%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 7.6

Stabilization Target: $14.81 (+21.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +21.7%

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Last updated: October 12, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM

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