Is F stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, F is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of F stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for F to be between $13.80 and $14.30. The current price is $13.97.

What is the analyst price target for F?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for F is $15.85. This implies a potential upside of 14.2% from current levels.

Ford Motor (F) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

F - Ford Motor Company

MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

$13.97

0.09 (0.65%) ▲

5d: -3.05%

30d: +1.01%

90d: -5.03%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your F Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $14.62 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026

Strength: 8.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 2.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$17.35

Based on 3.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$10.77

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $13.97, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.80 to $14.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.15, while resistance sits at $14.64.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.85 (+14.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $13.80 - $14.30

Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.85)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.80 - $14.30

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.15

Resistance Level $14.64

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.25

Wall Street Target $15.85 (+14.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 430.8%

Profit Margin -3.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 7.3 vs 7.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $13.57 (-2%)

2-Year Target $13.28 (-4%)

3-Year Target $12.98 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→8) $13.80 (-1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.6%) $41.70 (+201%)

Base: (SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 2.6%) $14.98 (+8%)

Bear: (PE: 6.2, Growth: 2.6%) $12.74 (-8%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.7

Stabilization Target: $14.75 (+6.3%)

PE Expansion Potential: +6.3%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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