F Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
F - Ford Motor Company
$14.68
-0.18 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+2.16%
30d:
+7.62%
90d:
+21.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.18
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $14.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.69 to $14.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.94, while resistance sits at $16.29.
Market Sentiment: F has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.94, while resistance sits at $16.29.
Market Sentiment: F has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.69 -
$14.56
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding F? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.78)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.69 -
$14.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.94
Resistance Level
$16.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.76
Wall Street Target
$15.78
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
430.8%
Profit Margin
-3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.65
(0%)
2-Year Target
$14.62
(0%)
3-Year Target
$14.59
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$14.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 4.5%)
$44.72
(+205%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 4.5%)
$16.73
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 4.5%)
$14.22
(-3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.76
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is F showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
William Clay Ford Jr
BUY
140000 shares
2026-02-19
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