Ford Motor (F) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
F - Ford Motor Company
$12.27
0.21 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
-2.62%
30d:
-11.34%
90d:
-8.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: F shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.82
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $12.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.78 to $14.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: F scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.03 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: F scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.03 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.78 -
$14.14
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding F? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($16.03)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.78 -
$14.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.91
Resistance Level
$13.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.27
Wall Street Target
$16.03
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
430.8%
Profit Margin
-3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 7.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.47
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.73
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$10.03
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$12.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.1%)
$46.37
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 5.1%)
$14.26
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 5.1%)
$12.12
(-1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$15.06
(+22.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 8:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is F showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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