Ford Motor (F) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.28
-0.24 (-1.92%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.24%
30d:
+2.33%
90d:
-11.21%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (50%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$11.91 â $12.45
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.5x
CHEAP
vs 7.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.14
+23.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.70 / $12.86
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: F is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.20
Based on -43.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $12.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.91 to $12.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.70, while resistance sits at $12.86.
Market Sentiment: F scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.14 (+23.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.70, while resistance sits at $12.86.
Market Sentiment: F scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.14 (+23.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.91 -
$12.45
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$11.91 -
$12.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$11.70
Resistance Level
$12.86
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding F? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($15.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.51
Wall Street Target
$15.14
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.7%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.72
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$11.18
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$10.66
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$12.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -90.8%)
$36.48
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: -90.8%)
$11.95
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: -90.8%)
$10.16
(-17%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$14.16
(+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.3%
Share F Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (F)
Neutral
2 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
General Motors (GM) is experiencing growth in its digital business, driven by OnStar subscriptions and Super Cruise revenue. The company expects to reach approximately 13 million global subscribers and $7.5 billion in software and services deferred revenue by year-end 2026.
Key Retail Themes:
OnStar and Super Cruise revenue growth
Recurring software and services business
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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