FCFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCFS - FirstCash Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$225.28
19.37 (9.41%)
▲
5d:
+4.9%
30d:
+14.12%
90d:
-0.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FCFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FCFS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$347.67
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$215.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCFS is currently trading at $225.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $203.03 to $215.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCFS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $228.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.25 (+10.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCFS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $228.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.25 (+10.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$203.03 -
$215.46
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($249.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$203.03 -
$215.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.80
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$204.81
Resistance Level
$228.02
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.16
Wall Street Target
$249.25
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.2%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$227.98
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$230.72
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$233.49
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$224.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.0%)
$411.25
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$351.52
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 16.0%)
$298.79
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.52
Bull Case
$349.11
(+55%)
Analyst growth 54.1%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$317.37
(+41%)
Market implied 54.1%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$140.02
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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