FCFS
FirstCash Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS RETAIL
FirstCash (FCFS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$182.44
-0.99 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-5.64%
30d:
-16.63%
90d:
-13.46%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Protect FCFS Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (92%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$183.96 – $214.24
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.4x
CHEAP
vs 16.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$247.50
+34.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$179.48 / $201.00
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: FCFS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$337.42
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$209.51
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCFS is currently trading at $182.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $183.96 to $214.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCFS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FCFS scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $247.50 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCFS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FCFS scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $247.50 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$183.96 -
$214.24
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$183.96 -
$214.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.05
(5.0%)
Support Level
$179.48
Resistance Level
$201.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($247.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.39
Wall Street Target
$247.50
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 16.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$175.36
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$167.64
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$160.27
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→17)
$183.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$395.58
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 16.0%)
$286.67
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$243.67
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.24
Bull Case
$284.99
(+55%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$259.08
(+41%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$127.72
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$210.29
(+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FCFS)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
FirstCash Holdings, Inc. reported strong Q1 earnings results and raised full-year guidance, leading to a significant increase in stock price.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong earnings
Positive investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 1:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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