FCFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCFS - FirstCash Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$226.25
-2.64 (-1.15%)
▼
5d:
+1.1%
30d:
-0.01%
90d:
+16.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCFS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCFS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$313.03
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$194.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCFS is currently trading at $226.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $218.13 to $229.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $205.00, while resistance sits at $235.03.
Market Sentiment: FCFS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $205.00, while resistance sits at $235.03.
Market Sentiment: FCFS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$218.13 -
$229.06
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($241.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$218.13 -
$229.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$10.58
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$205.00
Resistance Level
$235.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.43
Wall Street Target
$241.40
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$237.36
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$246.14
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$255.25
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$228.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$398.14
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 13.8%)
$336.93
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 13.8%)
$286.39
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.99
Bull Case
$388.18
(+70%)
Analyst growth 55.4%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case
$352.89
(+54%)
Market implied 55.4%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$154.39
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Howard F Hambleton
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-18
R Douglas Orr
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-17
R Douglas Orr
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced FCFS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCFS price and gamma walls.
