FCPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCPT - Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.
$25.23
-0.15 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
-2.4%
90d:
+0.96%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCPT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FCPT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.41
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCPT is currently trading at $25.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.94 to $26.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.22 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.22 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.94 -
$26.09
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.22)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 76/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.94 -
$26.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.28
Resistance Level
$25.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.35
Wall Street Target
$28.22
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Profit Margin
38.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.43
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$25.64
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$25.84
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.30
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 3.1%)
$27.62
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.1%)
$25.96
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 3.1%)
$22.07
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$29.99
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.4%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$27.27
(+8%)
Market implied 7.4%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$17.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
William H Lenehan
BUY
7865 shares
2026-03-06
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