Four Corners Property Trust (FCPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCPT - Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.
$22.05
0.86 (4.06%)
â˛
5d:
+1.15%
30d:
-0.85%
90d:
-15.42%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FCPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FCPT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.74
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCPT is currently trading at $22.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.27 to $22.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.56 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.56 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.27 -
$22.66
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($26.56)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.27 -
$22.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.09
Resistance Level
$22.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.50
Wall Street Target
$26.56
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Profit Margin
38.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.96
(0%)
2-Year Target
$21.87
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$21.79
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â21)
$22.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: -3.1%)
$20.04
(+-9%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.1%)
$19.42
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -3.1%)
$16.51
(-25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$23.52
(+11%)
Analyst growth -2.2%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$21.38
(+1%)
Market implied -2.2%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$14.86
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$22.27
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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