FCPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCPT - Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.
$25.19
0.23 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
+0.12%
90d:
+0.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
Get Alerted When FCPT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FCPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FCPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.99
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCPT is currently trading at $25.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.52 to $25.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $25.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.22 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $25.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.22 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$24.52 -
$25.23
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.22)
- BEARISH: Market expects 2.2% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.52 -
$25.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.87
Resistance Level
$25.48
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.09
Wall Street Target
$28.22
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Profit Margin
38.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 20.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.74
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$26.31
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$26.89
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 4.4%)
$25.22
(+0%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.4%)
$24.87
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.4%)
$21.14
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$28.20
(+12%)
Analyst growth 2.7%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$25.64
(+2%)
Market implied 2.7%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$16.97
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FCPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
William H Lenehan
BUY
7865 shares
2026-03-06
Top Rated REIT - Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$85 | 63 BUY |
|
EPRT
Essential Properties Rea… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$37 | 60 HOLD |
|
NTST
Netstreit Corp |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$23 | 65 BUY |
|
BRX
Brixmor Property |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$34 | 57 HOLD |
|
KIM
Kimco Realty Corporation |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$26 | 59 HOLD |
