Four Corners Property Trust (FCPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCPT - Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.
$23.97
-0.13 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-3.77%
30d:
-3.89%
90d:
-3.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FCPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FCPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.61
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCPT is currently trading at $23.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.60 to $25.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $23.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.33 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $23.94. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.33 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.60 -
$25.33
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.60 -
$25.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.94
Resistance Level
$25.45
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.88
Wall Street Target
$28.33
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.6%
Profit Margin
38.7%
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.97
(0%)
2-Year Target
$23.97
(0%)
3-Year Target
$23.97
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$24.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 1.7%)
$25.25
(+5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.7%)
$24.39
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 1.7%)
$20.73
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$28.18
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.3%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$25.62
(+7%)
Market implied 6.3%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$16.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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