Four Corners Property Trust (FCPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCPT - Four Corners Property Trust, Inc.
$21.65
0.23 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
-2.48%
30d:
-12.45%
90d:
-13.43%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
Get Alerted When FCPT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FCPT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FCPT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.48
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCPT is currently trading at $21.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.80 to $25.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.11 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FCPT scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.11 (+31.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.80 -
$25.22
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($28.11)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.80 -
$25.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.35
Resistance Level
$22.82
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.66
Wall Street Target
$28.11
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Profit Margin
38.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 20.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.65
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$19.91
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$19.19
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$21.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 1.7%)
$24.67
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 1.7%)
$22.56
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 1.7%)
$19.18
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.10
Bull Case
$24.98
(+17%)
Analyst growth 4.4%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$22.71
(+6%)
Market implied 4.4%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$14.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.88
(+11.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FCPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
EPRT
Essential Properties Rea… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$36 | 59 HOLD |
|
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$84 | 50 HOLD |
|
BRX
Brixmor Property |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$35 | 57 HOLD |
|
KIM
Kimco Realty Corporation |
HOLD
25 analysts |
$27 | 58 HOLD |
|
NTST
Netstreit Corp |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$23 | 59 HOLD |
