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FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
Agricultural Production-Crops
Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.45
37.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: FDP is currently trading at $29.22, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.13, while resistance sits at $33.89.
Market Sentiment: FDP scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+78.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
78.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level$28.13
Resistance Level$33.89
Current TrendDowntrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: Trading 78.0% below Wall St target ($52.00)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)8.67
Wall Street Target
$52.00
(+78.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)-67.2%
Profit Margin1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.68
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$24.36
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$22.24
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$29.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.7%)
$247.72
(+748%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 56.7%)
$98.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 56.7%)
$83.82
(+187%)
💡Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$38.42
(+31.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FDP)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
SVP Jorge Pelaez Reyes sold 2,622 shares of Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) for $87,000, while the company celebrated International Pineapple Day and reported surging popularity. Pelaez, a long-term veteran of the company, holds 32% of his previous holdings.
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc is an integrated producer, marketer & distributor of fresh-cut fruit & vegetables. It operates in three segments, Fresh and value-added products segment, which includes pineapples, fresh-cut fruit, fresh-cut vegetables, melons, vegetables, non-tropical fruit, other fruit and vegetables, avocados, and prepared foods, Banana segment & Other products and services segment, including the third-party freight & logistic services business & the Jordanian poultry and meats business. The majority is from the Fresh and value-added products segment. Geographically, it operates in North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Other, out of which the highest is from North America.