FDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDP - Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
$27.57
0.67 (2.47%)
▲
5d:
-4.25%
30d:
-16.5%
90d:
-34.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.86
41.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDP is currently trading at $27.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.20 to $32.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+93.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+93.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$28.20 -
$32.44
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 93.3% below Wall St target ($52.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.20 -
$32.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.13
Resistance Level
$33.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.98
Wall Street Target
$52.00
(+93.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.2%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.61
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→12)
$28.25
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.7%)
$247.72
(+821%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 56.7%)
$90.79
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 56.7%)
$77.17
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45
Bull Case
$60.37
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$54.88
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$18.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$38.76
(+44.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marissa R Tenazas
SELL
1046 shares
2026-04-02
Effie D Silva
SELL
5894 shares
2026-03-09
Gianpaolo Renino
SELL
6297 shares
2026-03-06
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