FER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FER - Ferrovial SE Ordinary Shares
$66.08
0.98 (1.51%)
▲
5d:
+5.12%
30d:
-2.42%
90d:
-4.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FER shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FER shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.50
Based on -1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FER is currently trading at $66.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.92 to $67.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 49.7) is in line with its historical norms (54.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $66.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FER has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.20 (+16.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $66.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FER has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.20 (+16.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$62.92 -
$67.28
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.92 -
$67.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.15
Resistance Level
$66.20
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.71
Wall Street Target
$77.20
(+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
49.7 vs 54.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$62.43
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$60.68
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→54)
$66.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.7, Growth: -6.0%)
$65.96
(+0%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -6.0%)
$27.50
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -6.0%)
$23.38
(-65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (69x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (50x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 68.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$100.19
(+52%)
Analyst growth 39.9%, PE expands to 75.4
Base Case
$91.09
(+38%)
Market implied 39.9%, PE stable at 68.5
Bear Case
$44.27
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 58.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 49.7 to 54.2
Stabilization Target:
$72.04
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FER Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FER price and gamma walls.
