FER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FER - Ferrovial SE Ordinary Shares
$66.39
0.05 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-4.5%
30d:
-2.15%
90d:
-4.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FER shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FER shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.57
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FER is currently trading at $66.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.81 to $69.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.5) is in line with its historical norms (55.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $65.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.62 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $65.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.62 (+16.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.81 -
$69.67
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.81 -
$69.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.58
Resistance Level
$69.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
51.50
Wall Street Target
$77.62
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.6%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
51.5 vs 55.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.86
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$63.37
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$61.91
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→55)
$66.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 51.5, Growth: 14.1%)
$98.69
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.1%)
$41.99
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 14.1%)
$35.69
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 49.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case
$71.26
(+4%)
Analyst growth -6.8%, PE expands to 54.6
Base Case
$64.78
(-5%)
Market implied -6.8%, PE stable at 49.7
Bear Case
$47.27
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.5 to 55.1
Stabilization Target:
$71.03
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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