FER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FER - Ferrovial SE Ordinary Shares
$62.84
-0.31 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
-2.02%
30d:
-0.73%
90d:
-8.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FER shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FER shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.26
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FER is currently trading at $62.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.02 to $65.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 47.5) compared to its historical average (53.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FER scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.05 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FER scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.05 (+17.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$63.02 -
$65.55
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($74.05)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.02 -
$65.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.42
Resistance Level
$66.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.45
Wall Street Target
$74.05
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
47.5 vs 53.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.26
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$57.79
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$55.42
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→54)
$62.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.5, Growth: 14.4%)
$93.98
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$39.75
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$33.79
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (66x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 65.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.96
Bull Case
$95.82
(+53%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 72.4
Base Case
$87.11
(+39%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 65.8
Bear Case
$42.94
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 55.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 47.5 to 53.8
Stabilization Target:
$71.24
(+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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