Ferrovial SE Ordinary Shares (FER) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FER - Ferrovial SE Ordinary Shares
$53.64
0.70 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
-3.92%
30d:
-7.26%
90d:
-21.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FER shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FER shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.92
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FER is currently trading at $53.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.23 to $59.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 45.3) compared to its historical average (52.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.04 (+36.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.04 (+36.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$54.23 -
$59.07
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FER? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($73.04)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.23 -
$59.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.24
Resistance Level
$56.47
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.30
Wall Street Target
$73.04
(+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
45.3 vs 52.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.01
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$48.51
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$46.13
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→53)
$53.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$76.31
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$34.37
(-36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$29.21
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$72.59
(+35%)
Analyst growth 24.7%, PE expands to 61.3
Base Case
$65.99
(+23%)
Market implied 24.7%, PE stable at 55.7
Bear Case
$36.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 45.3 to 52.7
Stabilization Target:
$62.41
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FER Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FER price and gamma walls.
