FHB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHB - First Hawaiian, Inc. Common Stock
$28.60
0.26 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+1.42%
30d:
+4.88%
90d:
+18.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.64
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHB is currently trading at $28.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.74 to $28.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.74 -
$28.03
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.74 -
$28.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.38
Resistance Level
$28.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.53
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.68
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.02
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$29.37
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$63.45
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 5.8%)
$33.60
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$28.56
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$33.45
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$30.40
(+7%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$19.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
500 shares
2026-02-10
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-06
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