FHB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHB - First Hawaiian, Inc. Common Stock
$26.32
-0.29 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
-4.84%
30d:
-8.13%
90d:
-3.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FHB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FHB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.48
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHB is currently trading at $26.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.21 to $28.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FHB scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.78 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FHB scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.78 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.21 -
$28.78
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.78)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.21 -
$28.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.32
Resistance Level
$27.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$30.78
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Profit Margin
32.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.71
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$25.12
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$24.55
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$26.38
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.6%)
$63.07
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 7.6%)
$32.75
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 7.6%)
$27.84
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.30
Bull Case
$32.14
(+22%)
Analyst growth 9.8%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$29.22
(+11%)
Market implied 9.8%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$18.09
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$28.28
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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