FHB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHB - First Hawaiian, Inc. Common Stock
$29.14
-0.99 (-3.29%)
▼
5d:
-3.96%
30d:
+4.03%
90d:
+10.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.61
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHB is currently trading at $29.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.89 to $29.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.89 -
$29.79
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.89 -
$29.79
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.38
Resistance Level
$28.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.65
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.52
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.90
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$30.29
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$66.75
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 7.0%)
$35.70
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$30.34
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$36.36
(+25%)
Analyst growth 9.7%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$33.06
(+13%)
Market implied 9.7%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$20.49
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
500 shares
2026-02-10
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-06
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