National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$31.37
0.46 (1.49%)
â˛
5d:
-3.36%
30d:
+1.36%
90d:
-15.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FIZZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FIZZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.70
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $31.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.10 to $32.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.97, while resistance sits at $32.94.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.97, while resistance sits at $32.94.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$31.10 -
$32.56
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.10 -
$32.56
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.97
Resistance Level
$32.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$32.00
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.49
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$29.64
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$28.81
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â17)
$31.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.2%)
$44.16
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 2.2%)
$33.45
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 2.2%)
$28.43
(-9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$35.26
(+12%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$32.05
(+2%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$21.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$34.08
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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