National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$30.32
0.63 (2.12%)
â˛
5d:
+2.19%
30d:
-5.52%
90d:
-6.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FIZZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FIZZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.46
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $30.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.15 to $32.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (16.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.07, while resistance sits at $32.03.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.07, while resistance sits at $32.03.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$30.15 -
$32.36
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.15 -
$32.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.07
Resistance Level
$32.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.77
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+2.2%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.1%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 16.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.23
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$28.18
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$27.16
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â17)
$30.35
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$44.66
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 2.2%)
$32.33
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 2.2%)
$27.48
(-9%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$35.48
(+17%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$32.26
(+6%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$20.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.8 to 16.5
Stabilization Target:
$33.88
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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