FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$31.53
-0.11 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
+0.9%
30d:
-5.4%
90d:
-7.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.18
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $31.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.90 to $32.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.07, while resistance sits at $32.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.07, while resistance sits at $32.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$30.90 -
$32.64
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.90 -
$32.64
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.07
Resistance Level
$32.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.36
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.58
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$29.67
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$28.78
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$31.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 2.2%)
$45.38
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$33.62
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 2.2%)
$28.57
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$36.46
(+16%)
Analyst growth 4.8%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$33.15
(+5%)
Market implied 4.8%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$21.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$34.50
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 8:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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