National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$36.15
-0.92 (-2.48%)
▼
5d:
+3.4%
30d:
+21.02%
90d:
+15.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FIZZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FIZZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.46
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $36.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.69 to $34.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $31.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $31.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$29.69 -
$34.07
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.2% above Wall St target ($31.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with None% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.69 -
$34.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.48
Resistance Level
$37.21
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.61
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(-14.2%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.1%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 16.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.98
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$37.83
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$38.70
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.27
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.2%)
$43.48
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 2.2%)
$38.54
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 2.2%)
$32.76
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$42.29
(+17%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$38.44
(+6%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$25.21
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Stocks
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|---|---|---|---|
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MNST
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|
PEP
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SELL
24 analysts |
$142 | 50 HOLD |
