FLR Fluor Corporation HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS

Fluor (FLR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$50.62
+0.18 (+0.36%) ▲
5d: +6.32% 30d: +1.75% 90d: -3.27%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$45.52 – $50.20
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.5x FAIR
vs 15.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$59.19
+16.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$42.80 / $51.70
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FLR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $50.70 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.53
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.83
10.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLR is currently trading at $50.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.52 to $50.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FLR scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.19 (+16.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $45.52 - $50.20
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 26.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $45.52 - $50.20
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $42.80
Resistance Level $51.70
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($59.19)
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.50
Wall Street Target $59.19 (+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.5%
Profit Margin -7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 15.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $50.27 (-1%)
2-Year Target $49.91 (-1%)
3-Year Target $49.56 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→16) $50.52 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.6%) $113.67 (+125%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 20.6%) $88.72 (+75%)
Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: 20.6%) $75.41 (+49%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 15.8
Stabilization Target: $51.60 (+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FLR)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwits user expresses interest in $FLR's subsidiary, $SMR, and its expansion plans in various regions including USA, Saudi Arabia, China, France-North Africa, and SE Asia.
Key Retail Themes: $FLR's expansion plans Global reach of $SMR
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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