FLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FLR - Fluor Corporation

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$50.41
0.24 (0.48%) ▲
5d: -2.5%
30d: +1.94%
90d: -4.89%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026 3d
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FLR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.69
20.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLR is currently trading at $50.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.10 to $52.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1426.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.77, while resistance sits at $53.42.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $49.10 - $52.39
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($52.44)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $49.10 - $52.39
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.77
Resistance Level $53.42
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.33
Wall Street Target $52.44 (+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1426.8%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.3 vs 16.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.32 (-2%)
2-Year Target $48.48 (-3%)
3-Year Target $47.65 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→16) $50.03 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 27.5%) $140.53 (+180%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 27.5%) $103.95 (+107%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: 27.5%) $88.36 (+76%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case $77.01 (+54%)
Analyst growth 39.8%, PE expands to 23.5
Base Case $70.01 (+40%)
Market implied 39.8%, PE stable at 21.4
Bear Case $34.05 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.1
Stabilization Target: $52.68 (+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.0%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Morgan SELL 3387 shares 2026-02-23
Michael E Alexander SELL 3387 shares 2026-02-23
Kevin B Hammonds SELL 2988 shares 2026-02-20

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