FMBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FMBH - First Mid Bancshares, Inc. Common Stock
$50.28
0.02 (0.04%)
â˛
5d:
-3.33%
30d:
+0.46%
90d:
+14.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Get Alerted When FMBH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FMBH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FMBH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.84
Based on 4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMBH is currently trading at $50.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.65 to $52.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FMBH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FMBH scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$49.65 -
$52.29
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.65 -
$52.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.53
Resistance Level
$52.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.18
Wall Street Target
$56.50
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Profit Margin
26.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.99
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$53.76
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$55.58
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.4%)
$112.77
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 4.4%)
$57.17
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 4.4%)
$48.60
(-3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.04
Bull Case
$67.62
(+35%)
Analyst growth 22.3%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$61.47
(+22%)
Market implied 22.3%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$34.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FMBH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$63 | 51 HOLD |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services GâĻ |
BUY
23 analysts |
$278 | 48 HOLD |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$55 | 50 HOLD |
|
NU
Nu Holdings Ltd |
BUY
20 analysts |
$18 | 46 HOLD |
|
KEY
KeyCorp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$26 | 51 HOLD |
