What is the fair value of FMC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FMC to be between $10.31 and $11.31. The current price is $11.02.

What is the analyst price target for FMC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FMC is $13.52. This implies a potential upside of 22.7% from current levels.

FMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FMC - FMC Corporation

CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS

$11.02

0.14 (1.29%) ▲

5d: +8.57%

30d: -5.73%

90d: -15.3%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $10.88 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: FMC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$19.04

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$11.82

6.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FMC is currently trading at $11.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.31 to $11.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.8) compared to its historical average (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FMC scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.52 (+22.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $10.31 - $11.31

Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 86.7%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($13.52)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with -17.5% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.31 - $11.31

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.95

Resistance Level $11.35

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.76

Wall Street Target $13.52 (+22.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -17.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -77.6%

Profit Margin -84.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.8% premium

PE vs Historical 6.8 vs 6.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.44 (+4%)

2-Year Target $11.87 (+8%)

3-Year Target $12.32 (+12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $10.93 (-1%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 26.1%) $65.58 (+495%)

Base: (SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 26.1%) $22.10 (+101%)

Bear: (PE: 5.7, Growth: 26.1%) $18.79 (+71%)

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Michael F Barry BUY 18072 shares 2026-03-04

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Advanced FMC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FMC price and gamma walls.

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