FMC (FMC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FMC - FMC Corporation

CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
$11.40
-0.68 (-5.63%) ▼
5d: -12.17%
30d: +11.33%
90d: +1.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $13.03 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 4.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FMC is down 12.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.11
5.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FMC is currently trading at $11.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.24 to $12.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (6.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FMC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.78, while resistance sits at $13.46. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: FMC scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.41 (+17.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $10.24 - $12.11
Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.41)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.2% growth with -17.5% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.24 - $12.11
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.78
Resistance Level $13.46
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.94
Wall Street Target $13.41 (+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -77.6%
Profit Margin -84.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 6.9 vs 6.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.88 (+4%)
2-Year Target $12.38 (+9%)
3-Year Target $12.90 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→6) PE COMPRESSION $11.33 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 27.1%) $68.08 (+497%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 27.1%) $23.43 (+106%)
Bear: (PE: 5.9, Growth: 27.1%) $19.91 (+75%)
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FMC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FMC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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