Primis Financial (FRST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRST - Primis Financial Corp. Common Stock
$16.15
0.05 (0.31%)
▲
5d:
+0.25%
30d:
-2.65%
90d:
+4.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.59
8.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $16.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.97 to $16.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.19 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.19 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.97 -
$16.47
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.19)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.97 -
$16.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.57
Resistance Level
$16.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.32
Wall Street Target
$19.19
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
285.2%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.70
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$17.27
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$17.85
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 39.6%)
$106.38
(+559%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 39.6%)
$43.91
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 39.6%)
$37.32
(+131%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$15.76
(-2%)
Analyst growth -11.0%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$14.33
(-11%)
Market implied -11.0%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$10.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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