FRST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRST - Primis Financial Corp. Common Stock
$16.34
0.32 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.42%
30d:
+3.29%
90d:
+11.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FRST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FRST is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.36
5.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $16.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.63 to $16.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.62 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.62 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.63 -
$16.27
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.63 -
$16.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.81
Resistance Level
$16.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.26
Wall Street Target
$18.63
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
285.2%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.63
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$17.26
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$17.92
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 38.1%)
$105.87
(+561%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 38.1%)
$42.17
(+163%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 38.1%)
$35.85
(+124%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$15.86
(-1%)
Analyst growth -9.3%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$14.41
(-10%)
Market implied -9.3%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$10.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Fitzgerald Biagas
BUY
1925 shares
2026-03-12
John Fitzgerald Biagas
BUY
1550 shares
2026-03-11
Deborah Diaz
BUY
1050 shares
2026-03-06
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