Primis Financial (FRST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.73
-0.01 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
-2.26%
30d:
-4.16%
90d:
-11.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$14.76 – $15.50
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.7x
FAIR
vs 7.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.75
+20.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.40 / $15.45
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FRST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.62
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $14.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.76 to $15.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.75 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.75 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.76 -
$15.50
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.76 -
$15.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$14.40
Resistance Level
$15.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($17.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 76/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.66
Wall Street Target
$17.75
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.36
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$16.02
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$16.71
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.66
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.7%)
$82.43
(+460%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 34.7%)
$35.96
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 34.7%)
$30.57
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.24
Bull Case
$12.31
(-17%)
Analyst growth -24.1%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$11.19
(-24%)
Market implied -24.1%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$10.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
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