Primis Financial (FRST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRST - Primis Financial Corp. Common Stock
$15.62
0.23 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
-0.45%
30d:
-2.38%
90d:
-2.25%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FRST is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FRST is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.94
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $15.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.58 to $16.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.19 (+22.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.19 (+22.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.58 -
$16.13
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($19.19)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 17% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.58 -
$16.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.84
Resistance Level
$16.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.00
Wall Street Target
$19.19
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
285.2%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.92
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$16.22
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$16.53
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.70
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 40.5%)
$110.40
(+607%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 40.5%)
$43.29
(+177%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 40.5%)
$36.80
(+136%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$15.16
(-3%)
Analyst growth -10.4%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$13.78
(-12%)
Market implied -10.4%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$10.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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