Primis Financial (FRST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRST - Primis Financial Corp. Common Stock
$15.94
0.36 (2.31%)
▲
5d:
+3.24%
30d:
+2.91%
90d:
+3.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRST shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FRST shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.69
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $15.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.32 to $15.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $16.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.94 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $16.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRST scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.94 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.32 -
$15.84
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.32 -
$15.84
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.07
Resistance Level
$16.03
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.28
Wall Street Target
$18.94
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
285.2%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.40
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.88
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$17.37
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 39.5%)
$103.77
(+551%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 39.5%)
$43.27
(+171%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 39.5%)
$36.78
(+131%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.15
Bull Case
$15.34
(-4%)
Analyst growth -10.5%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$13.95
(-13%)
Market implied -10.5%, PE stable at 7.3
Bear Case
$10.59
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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