Fortuna Mining (FSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSM - Fortuna Mining Corp.
$11.99
-0.06 (-0.50%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.29%
30d:
+10.61%
90d:
+39.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $12.31 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026
Strength: 7.1/10
Get Alerted When FSM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.64
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.44
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSM is currently trading at $11.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.24 to $12.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.56, while resistance sits at $12.94.
Market Sentiment: FSM scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.56, while resistance sits at $12.94.
Market Sentiment: FSM scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.24 -
$12.48
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FSM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($14.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.24 -
$12.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.56
Resistance Level
$12.94
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.82
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.4%
Profit Margin
32.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.27
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$12.55
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$12.84
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â6)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.05
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.4%)
$68.24
(+469%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 24.4%)
$23.07
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 24.4%)
$19.61
(+64%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.16
Bull Case
$20.09
(+68%)
Analyst growth 51.6%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$18.27
(+52%)
Market implied 51.6%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$8.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$133 | 46 HOLD |
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$36 | 40 SELL |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines LimitâĻ |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$215 | 38 SELL |
|
B
Barrick Mining CorporatiâĻ |
BUY
22 analysts |
$52 | 44 HOLD |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals âĻ |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$175 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced FSM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSM price and gamma walls.