Fortuna Mining (FSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.11
-0.34 (-3.60%)
▼
5d:
-3.9%
30d:
-10.42%
90d:
-14.62%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect FSM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
60/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$9.29 – $10.65
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.7x
CHEAP
vs 6.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.50
+53.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.62 / $10.15
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: FSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 10, 2026 at $9.48 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.79
28.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSM is currently trading at $9.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.29 to $10.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.62, while resistance sits at $10.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+53.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.62, while resistance sits at $10.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+53.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.29 -
$10.65
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.29 -
$10.65
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$8.62
Resistance Level
$10.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FSM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($14.50)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.72
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.8%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.12
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$8.80
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$8.49
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$9.50
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 53.8%)
$110.77
(+1072%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 53.8%)
$31.89
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 53.8%)
$27.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$18.20
(+93%)
Analyst growth 74.0%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$16.54
(+75%)
Market implied 74.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$6.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$10.58
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FSM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user has shared a message claiming ChatGPT's prediction of a positive outcome for $FSM over the next six months.
Key Retail Themes:
ChatGPT's prediction
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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