H.B. Fuller (FUL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUL - H.B. Fuller Company
$51.55
0.89 (1.76%)
▲
5d:
-0.04%
30d:
+2.67%
90d:
-7.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FUL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FUL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.48
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUL is currently trading at $51.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.71 to $50.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.29 (+34.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.29 (+34.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$49.71 -
$50.99
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($68.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.71 -
$50.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.86
Resistance Level
$52.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.78
Wall Street Target
$68.29
(+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.98
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$45.43
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$43.02
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$50.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$125.51
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$61.80
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 6.8%)
$52.53
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.59
Bull Case
$80.28
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$72.98
(+44%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$34.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$59.58
(+17.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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