FUL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUL - H.B. Fuller Company
$55.30
-0.08 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
-0.72%
30d:
-3.46%
90d:
-8.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 62% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUL appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.6% annual earnings decline despite 62% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.29
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUL is currently trading at $55.30, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.92 to $59.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $53.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.29 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $53.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.29 (+32.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$54.92 -
$59.73
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($73.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.92 -
$59.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.86
Resistance Level
$58.26
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.39
Wall Street Target
$73.29
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.8%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.76
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$50.33
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$48.01
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$55.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$144.33
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 9.4%)
$72.31
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$61.47
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.34
Bull Case
$97.11
(+76%)
Analyst growth 59.4%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$88.28
(+60%)
Market implied 59.4%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$37.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$63.89
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Celeste Beeks Mastin
BUY
5170 shares
2026-04-07
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