FWONA
Liberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One Common Stock
Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production
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FWONA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$104.52
-1.46 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
+4.81%
30d:
+25.84%
90d:
+9.66%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$81.34 – $96.45
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
41.2x
STRETCHED
vs 29.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$112.67
+7.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$84.08 / $106.52
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FWONA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FWONA is currently trading at $104.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.34 to $96.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 41.2) compared to its historical average (29.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $106.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FWONA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $106.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FWONA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$81.34 -
$96.45
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$81.34 -
$96.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$84.08
Resistance Level
$106.52
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($112.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.5% growth with 13.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.20
Wall Street Target
$112.67
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.5%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.5% premium
PE vs Historical
41.2 vs 29.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.54
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$129.94
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$144.89
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$104.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.2, Growth: 31.6%)
$238.40
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 31.6%)
$114.92
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 31.6%)
$97.69
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (53x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 53.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.95
Bull Case
$126.21
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 56.2
Base Case
$104.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 53.5
Bear Case
$79.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 48.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FWONA)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Jul 2, 2024
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on FWONA are bullish (sentiment score +0.49) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is FWONA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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