Gladstone Investment (GAIN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GAIN - Gladstone Investment Corporation
$15.84
-0.02 (-0.13%)
▼
5d:
-1.06%
30d:
-3.12%
90d:
+7.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GAIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GAIN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.09
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GAIN is currently trading at $15.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.03 to $16.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GAIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $15.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GAIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $15.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.03 -
$16.46
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.03 -
$16.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.70
Resistance Level
$16.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.21
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
326.5%
Profit Margin
158.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 17.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.16
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$16.48
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$16.81
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.88
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 114.8%)
$59.46
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 114.8%)
$53.46
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 114.8%)
$45.44
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.26
Bull Case
$8.72
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.1
Base Case
$7.93
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.7
Bear Case
$10.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 21, 2026 7:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GAIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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