Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBCI - Glacier Bancorp Inc
$45.83
-0.10 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
-1.14%
30d:
-6.81%
90d:
-6.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GBCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GBCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.23
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.95
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBCI is currently trading at $45.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.21 to $49.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 66.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GBCI scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.83 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $45.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GBCI scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.83 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.21 -
$49.24
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($56.83)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.21 -
$49.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.13
Resistance Level
$47.71
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.71
Wall Street Target
$56.83
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
27.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.91
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$44.02
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$43.13
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$45.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.5%)
$111.98
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 15.5%)
$70.58
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 15.5%)
$59.99
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.45
Bull Case
$74.34
(+62%)
Analyst growth 47.1%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$67.58
(+48%)
Market implied 47.1%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$31.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$48.67
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GBCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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