GBCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GBCI - Glacier Bancorp Inc

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$49.64
0.71 (1.45%) ▲
5d: +0.63%
30d: +3.85%
90d: +12.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026 28d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GBCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.71
Based on 9.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.25
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GBCI is currently trading at $49.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.88 to $48.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GBCI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GBCI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.50 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $46.88 - $48.93
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($56.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $46.88 - $48.93
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.69
Resistance Level $48.86
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.61
Wall Street Target $56.50 (+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 39.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 31.3%
Profit Margin 25.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 13.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.89 (+1%)
2-Year Target $50.14 (+1%)
3-Year Target $50.39 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $49.60 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.6%) $122.65 (+147%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 15.6%) $76.65 (+54%)
Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: 15.6%) $65.16 (+31%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case $91.72 (+85%)
Analyst growth 70.4%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case $83.38 (+68%)
Market implied 70.4%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case $33.27 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:06 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ryan Thomas Screnar BUY 187 shares 2026-02-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-01-15

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