GCMG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GCMG - GCM Grosvenor Inc. Class A Common Stock
$13.60
-0.08 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
+21.1%
90d:
+39.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When GCMG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GCMG is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GCMG is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.64
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GCMG is currently trading at $13.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.25 to $13.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCMG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GCMG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GCMG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GCMG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.25 -
$13.14
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.25 -
$13.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.84
Resistance Level
$11.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.93
Wall Street Target
$14.75
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
104.4%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.23
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$14.88
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$15.56
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.8%)
$41.36
(+204%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 21.8%)
$24.55
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 21.8%)
$20.87
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$30.23
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$27.48
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$9.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GCMG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$150 | 56 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 57 HOLD |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$142 | 62 BUY |
|
OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$12 | 61 BUY |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$36 | 61 BUY |
