Greif (GEF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEF - Greif, Inc.
$82.27
-0.86 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
+0.18%
30d:
-0.66%
90d:
+2.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.06
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEF is currently trading at $82.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.22 to $83.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.24, while resistance sits at $88.53.
Market Sentiment: GEF scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.24, while resistance sits at $88.53.
Market Sentiment: GEF scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$80.22 -
$83.28
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($87.60)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.22 -
$83.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.24
Resistance Level
$88.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.96
Wall Street Target
$87.60
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.4%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.74
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$87.28
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$89.90
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.18
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.5%)
$133.54
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 11.5%)
$114.01
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 11.5%)
$96.91
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.24
Bull Case
$182.89
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.8
Base Case
$166.26
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.1
Bear Case
$56.53
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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