GEF
Greif, Inc.
METAL SHIPPING BARRELS, DRUMS, KEGS & PAILS
Greif (GEF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$70.89
-0.39 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
-11.43%
90d:
-18.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$75.03 – $83.29
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.6x
FAIR
vs 15.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$85.60
+20.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$70.50 / $84.65
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GEF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.52
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEF is currently trading at $70.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.03 to $83.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.60 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $70.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.60 (+20.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$75.03 -
$83.29
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$75.03 -
$83.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$70.50
Resistance Level
$84.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.8% below Wall St target ($85.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.61
Wall Street Target
$85.60
(+20.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.4%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.40
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$67.94
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$66.52
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$71.02
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.8%)
$134.83
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$99.19
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$84.31
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.54
Bull Case
$83.80
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$76.18
(+8%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$48.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$75.69
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GEF)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $GEF as the stock price approaches its all-time high almost 20 years old, with no bearish signals in sight.
Key Retail Themes:
$GEF's price action approaching prior all-time high
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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