GEF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEF - Greif, Inc.
$87.91
1.48 (1.71%)
â˛
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
+14.48%
90d:
+37.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GEF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GEF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.9% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.29
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEF is currently trading at $87.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.66 to $89.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEF scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GEF scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$78.66 -
$89.38
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
37.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($87.20)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.66 -
$89.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.76
Resistance Level
$89.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.44
Wall Street Target
$87.20
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.4%
Profit Margin
24.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.9% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 15.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.98
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$100.46
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$107.39
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â15)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.6%)
$129.44
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$118.90
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 10.6%)
$97.38
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$187.33
(+113%)
Analyst growth 97.0%, PE expands to 39.3
Base Case
$170.30
(+94%)
Market implied 97.0%, PE stable at 35.7
Bear Case
$58.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Bergwall
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-10
Timothy Bergwall
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-10
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