GENI
Genius Sports Limited
Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
Best Entertainment Stocks 2026 →
Genius Sports (GENI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$6.38
+0.03 (+0.47%)
▲
5d:
-8.99%
30d:
-2.3%
90d:
-19.34%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect GENI Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$6.18 – $6.66
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
6.0x
CHEAP
vs 14.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.24
+60.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.47 / $7.17
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: GENI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $5.99 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 8.7/10
Get Alerted When GENI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.07
64.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GENI is currently trading at $6.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.18 to $6.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.47, while resistance sits at $7.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.24 (+60.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.47, while resistance sits at $7.17.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.24 (+60.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.18 -
$6.66
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$6.18 -
$6.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$5.47
Resistance Level
$7.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding GENI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.5% below Wall St target ($10.24)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.0%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.02
Wall Street Target
$10.24
(+60.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
62.3%
Profit Margin
-18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.74
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.17
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→14)
$10.90
(+71%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 71.0%)
$71.05
(+1014%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 71.0%)
$21.53
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 71.0%)
$18.30
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.95
(+134.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+134.3%
Share GENI Analysis
Share this live GENI analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GENI)
Bearish
6 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
3
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Genius Sports exceeded third-quarter expectations with revenue of $269.9M (+62% YoY) and Adjusted EBITDA of $87.1M (+156% YoY), significantly outpacing revenue and profitability estimates.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong financial performance
Positive investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GENI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A |
STRONG BUY
58 analysts |
$400 | 66 BUY |
|
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C |
STRONG BUY
60 analysts |
$403 | 64 BUY |
|
META
Meta Platforms Inc. |
STRONG BUY
62 analysts |
$850 | 64 BUY |
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$26 | 46 HOLD |
|
BIDU
Baidu Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$135 | 61 BUY |
Advanced GENI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GENI price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive GENI Research Pages
