Geron (GERN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GERN - Geron Corp

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$1.13
-0.03 (-2.59%) ▼
5d: -8.13%
30d: -8.87%
90d: -20.42%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GERN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GERN is currently trading at $1.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.19 to $1.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.2) compared to its historical average (25.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GERN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.25 (+276.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $1.19 - $1.29
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 276.1% below Wall St target ($4.25)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $1.19 - $1.29
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.12
Resistance Level $1.26
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.25
Wall Street Target $4.25 (+276.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.2%
Profit Margin -33.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium
PE vs Historical 28.3 vs 25.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.18 (+4%)
2-Year Target $1.22 (+8%)
3-Year Target $1.27 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→25) PE COMPRESSION $1.13 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GERN Option Strategies

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