GFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$89.41
3.24 (3.76%)
▲
5d:
-4.13%
30d:
-3.72%
90d:
-3.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.78
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $89.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.75 to $94.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $86.12, while resistance sits at $95.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.43 (+37.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $86.12, while resistance sits at $95.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.43 (+37.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$88.75 -
$94.35
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
87.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.4% below Wall St target ($118.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.75 -
$94.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.12
Resistance Level
$95.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.97
Wall Street Target
$118.43
(+37.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$90.00
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$91.98
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$161.99
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$116.95
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$99.40
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.44
Bull Case
$104.05
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$86.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$65.92
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James W Sight
SELL
3070 shares
2026-02-09
Seth L Kaplan
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-09
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