Griffon (GFF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$97.00
2.37 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
+4.07%
30d:
+0.42%
90d:
+7.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.34
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $97.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.03 to $95.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.86 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.86 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$92.03 -
$95.93
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($126.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$92.03 -
$95.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.05
Resistance Level
$97.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.91
Wall Street Target
$126.86
(+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.01
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$103.11
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$106.30
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$174.42
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$139.73
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$118.77
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.62
Bull Case
$137.37
(+42%)
Analyst growth 32.0%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$124.88
(+29%)
Market implied 32.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$64.35
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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