GFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$89.96
-1.15 (-1.26%)
▼
5d:
-3.35%
30d:
-0.9%
90d:
+15.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.62
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $89.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.32 to $95.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $92.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.43 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $92.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.43 (+31.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$89.32 -
$95.25
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.6% below Wall St target ($118.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.32 -
$95.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.73
Resistance Level
$92.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.64
Wall Street Target
$118.43
(+31.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.65
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$97.49
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$101.48
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.22
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$169.69
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 10.6%)
$121.82
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 10.6%)
$103.54
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.81
Bull Case
$108.63
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$89.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$68.82
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James W Sight
SELL
3070 shares
2026-02-09
Seth L Kaplan
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-09
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