Griffon (GFF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$93.97
0.82 (0.88%)
▲
5d:
-4.49%
30d:
-1.94%
90d:
+0.96%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GFF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GFF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.95
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $93.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.70 to $98.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $90.68, while resistance sits at $98.70.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.00 (+35.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $90.68, while resistance sits at $98.70.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.00 (+35.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$93.70 -
$98.62
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.1% below Wall St target ($127.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$93.70 -
$98.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.68
Resistance Level
$98.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.27
Wall Street Target
$127.00
(+35.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.66
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$97.38
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$99.14
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$186.08
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$139.26
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$118.37
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$131.66
(+40%)
Analyst growth 28.5%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$119.69
(+27%)
Market implied 28.5%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$63.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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