GFF
Griffon Corp
METAL DOORS, SASH, FRAMES, MOLDINGS & TRIM
Griffon (GFF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$105.11
-1.05 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
+2.65%
30d:
+14.15%
90d:
+0.91%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$92.72 – $103.37
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.4x
STRETCHED
vs 14.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$126.86
+19.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$100.75 / $109.00
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.17
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $105.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $92.72 to $103.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $100.75, while resistance sits at $109.00.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.86 (+19.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $100.75, while resistance sits at $109.00.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.86 (+19.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$92.72 -
$103.37
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$92.72 -
$103.37
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$100.75
Resistance Level
$109.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($126.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.9% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.41
Wall Street Target
$126.86
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 14.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.42
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$119.06
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$126.08
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.44
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$174.42
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$152.92
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 12.9%)
$129.10
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.54
Bull Case
$154.19
(+45%)
Analyst growth 34.3%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$140.17
(+32%)
Market implied 34.3%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$70.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GFF)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
Last Tracked
Feb 25, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on GFF are bullish (sentiment score +0.63) across 2 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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