Griffon (GFF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$96.03
0.73 (0.77%)
▲
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
-8.44%
90d:
+0.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GFF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.01
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $96.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.77 to $104.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $94.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.57 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $94.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GFF scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.57 (+30.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$96.77 -
$104.41
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($125.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.77 -
$104.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$94.20
Resistance Level
$99.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.60
Wall Street Target
$125.57
(+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.62
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$101.29
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$104.02
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$183.98
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$142.32
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$120.97
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.68
Bull Case
$137.86
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.5%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$125.33
(+31%)
Market implied 31.5%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$64.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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