GRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GRC - The Gorman-Rupp Company Common Shares

PUMPS & PUMPING EQUIPMENT
$78.60
-0.90 (-1.13%) ▼
5d: -7.87%
30d: -1.07%
90d: +14.19%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRC is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.99
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRC is currently trading at $78.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.74 to $88.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (24.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.55, while resistance sits at $81.68.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $79.74 - $88.55
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.9% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $79.74 - $88.55
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.49 (5.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.55
Resistance Level $81.68
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.23
Wall Street Target $75.00 (-4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 46.6%
Profit Margin 8.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.8% premium
PE vs Historical 26.2 vs 24.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.01 (+2%)
2-Year Target $81.46 (+4%)
3-Year Target $82.92 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→25) PE COMPRESSION $78.72 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.2, Growth: 13.8%) $115.84 (+47%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%) $96.19 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.8%) $81.76 (+4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.24
Bull Case $116.99 (+49%)
Analyst growth 33.8%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case $106.36 (+35%)
Market implied 33.8%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case $54.06 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GRC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRC price and gamma walls.

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