GRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRMN - Garmin Ltd
$293.78
-3.77 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
+20.88%
30d:
+23.62%
90d:
+16.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: GRMN is 13.3% above its trading range ($259.21). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: GRMN is 13.3% above its trading range ($259.21). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$333.21
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRMN is currently trading at $293.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.33 to $259.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.3) compared to its historical average (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $235.76, while resistance sits at $304.00.
Market Sentiment: GRMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $235.76, while resistance sits at $304.00.
Market Sentiment: GRMN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$231.33 -
$259.21
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
Protect Your Profits
GRMN is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($279.57)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 4.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.33 -
$259.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$235.76
Resistance Level
$304.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.30
Wall Street Target
$279.57
(-4.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.3%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 23.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$307.88
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$322.66
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$338.15
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$293.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$359.41
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.0%)
$272.88
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 7.0%)
$231.95
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.79
Bull Case
$359.74
(+23%)
Analyst growth 9.9%, PE expands to 33.4
Base Case
$327.03
(+11%)
Market implied 9.9%, PE stable at 30.4
Bear Case
$202.33
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas G Boessen
SELL
3487 shares
2026-02-26
Matthew Munn
SELL
5275 shares
2026-02-26
Patrick Desbois
SELL
6694 shares
2026-02-26
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