GRND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRND - Grindr Inc.
$15.69
-0.31 (-1.94%)
▼
5d:
-2.3%
30d:
+37.87%
90d:
+30.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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1 traders called GRND this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRND shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRND shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.32
9.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $15.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.56 to $15.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRND has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.80 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRND has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.80 (+19.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.56 -
$15.13
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.56 -
$15.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.30
Resistance Level
$13.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.38
Wall Street Target
$18.80
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.5%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.16
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.65
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$17.14
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.3%)
$35.45
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 28.3%)
$33.16
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 28.3%)
$28.19
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$29.46
(+88%)
Analyst growth 67.4%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$26.78
(+71%)
Market implied 67.4%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$10.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nathan Richardson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-01
James Fu Bin Lu
SELL
475000 shares
2026-02-06
James Fu Bin Lu
SELL
600000 shares
2026-02-05
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