GRND Grindr Inc. SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC. Best Computer Services Stocks 2026 →

Grindr (GRND) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$13.73
+0.26 (+1.93%) ▲
5d: -2.0% 30d: -11.25% 90d: -12.83%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$13.08 – $14.65
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.3x FAIR
vs 19.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$20.40
+51.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.55 / $14.27
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRND shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $13.07 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 4.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.61
6.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $13.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.08 to $14.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.55, while resistance sits at $14.27.

Market Sentiment: GRND scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.40 (+51.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $13.08 - $14.65
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $13.08 - $14.65
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $12.55
Resistance Level $14.27
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 51.4% below Wall St target ($20.40)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.30
Wall Street Target $20.40 (+51.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 22.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.0%
Profit Margin 10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.8% premium
PE vs Historical 21.3 vs 19.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.98 (+4%)
2-Year Target $14.51 (+8%)
3-Year Target $15.06 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→19) PE COMPRESSION $13.51 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.3, Growth: 94.6%) $45.46 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 94.6%) $42.39 (+215%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 94.6%) $36.04 (+168%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case $19.81 (+47%)
Analyst growth 34.6%, PE expands to 31.3
Base Case $18.01 (+34%)
Market implied 34.6%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case $9.10 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GRND)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Q2 Holdings (QTWO) beat earnings and revenue estimates for Q3, with earnings coming in at $0.74 per share and revenues at $225.77 million. The stock has underperformed the market year-to-date.
Key Retail Themes: earnings report underperformance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive GRND Research Pages
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