Is GRND stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, GRND is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: GRND is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of GRND stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for GRND to be between $15.20 and $16.76. The current price is $15.28.

What is the analyst price target for GRND?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for GRND is $20.80. This implies a potential upside of 36.1% from current levels.

Grindr (GRND) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GRND - Grindr Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

$15.28

-0.10 (-0.65%) ▼

5d: -2.43%

30d: -3.72%

90d: +33.22%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $15.25 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRND is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$28.64

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$17.78

14.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $15.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.20 to $16.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.70, while resistance sits at $16.10.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.80 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $15.20 - $16.76

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($20.80)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.20 - $16.76

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.70

Resistance Level $16.10

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.84

Wall Street Target $20.80 (+36.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.0%

Profit Margin 18.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.3% premium

PE vs Historical 19.8 vs 19.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $15.48 (+1%)

2-Year Target $15.68 (+3%)

3-Year Target $15.88 (+4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→19) PE COMPRESSION $15.29 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.3%) $32.83 (+115%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 28.3%) $32.30 (+111%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 28.3%) $27.45 (+80%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 32.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47

Bull Case $27.72 (+81%)

Analyst growth 63.8%, PE expands to 36.0

Base Case $25.20 (+65%)

Market implied 63.8%, PE stable at 32.7

Bear Case $10.46 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:51 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Nathan Richardson SELL 1500 shares 2026-04-01

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Advanced GRND Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRND price and gamma walls.

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