Gold Royalty (GROY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.08
-0.11 (-3.45%)
▼
5d:
+16.67%
30d:
+2.33%
90d:
-2.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$2.79 – $3.06
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.4x
CHEAP
vs 43.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.03
+63.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$2.60 / $3.44
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GROY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GROY is currently trading at $3.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.79 to $3.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.4) compared to its historical average (43.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GROY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.60, while resistance sits at $3.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: GROY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.03 (+63.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GROY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.60, while resistance sits at $3.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: GROY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.03 (+63.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.79 -
$3.06
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.79 -
$3.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$2.60
Resistance Level
$3.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.4% below Wall St target ($5.03)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.42
Wall Street Target
$5.03
(+63.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
76.1%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.4 vs 43.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.80
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$2.55
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$2.32
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→43)
$3.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.4, Growth: 119.4%)
$10.39
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 119.4%)
$6.37
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 119.4%)
$5.41
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 41.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.07
Bull Case
$3.72
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$3.08
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.7
Bear Case
$2.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.4 to 43.0
Stabilization Target:
$4.08
(+32.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GROY)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 15, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $GROY with one trader reporting significant losses. No recent news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
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