Hyatt Hotels (H) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$187.21
-2.97 (-1.56%)
▼
5d:
+1.87%
30d:
+16.77%
90d:
+3.44%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$163.53 – $185.48
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
38.0x
FAIR
vs 37.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$202.12
+8.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$179.67 / $191.59
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: H shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.85
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $187.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $163.53 to $185.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.0) is in line with its historical norms (37.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $191.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: H scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $191.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: H scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$163.53 -
$185.48
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$163.53 -
$185.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$179.67
Resistance Level
$191.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($202.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.00
Wall Street Target
$202.12
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
38.0 vs 37.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$187.58
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$187.96
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$188.34
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$186.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.0, Growth: 24.8%)
$363.60
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.8%)
$190.04
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 24.8%)
$161.53
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 36.23 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.17
Bull Case
$226.06
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$187.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.2
Bear Case
$143.22
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (H)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Hyatt Hotels Q3 2025 loss turned into profit in Q3 2026, with net margin increasing from a loss to a profit. Revenue decreased during the same period.
Key Retail Themes:
Hyatt Hotels' financial performance
Investor sentiment towards Hyatt Hotels
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is H showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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