H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation
$180.67
1.19 (0.66%)
▲
5d:
-0.17%
30d:
-1.61%
90d:
+2.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: H shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: H shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $180.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.35 to $187.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.2) is in line with its historical norms (38.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: H scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: H scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$175.35 -
$187.57
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($196.04)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.35 -
$187.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.86
Resistance Level
$184.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.17
Wall Street Target
$196.04
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.2 vs 38.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$175.65
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$173.19
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→39)
$180.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.2, Growth: 35.3%)
$447.30
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 35.3%)
$241.49
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 35.3%)
$205.27
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 46.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.92
Bull Case
$218.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 48.4
Base Case
$180.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 46.1
Bear Case
$138.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 41.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.2 to 38.8
Stabilization Target:
$188.57
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 7:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is H showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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400 shares
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2026-03-19
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