Hyatt Hotels (H) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$163.07
1.68 (1.04%) ▲
5d: -1.4%
30d: -8.58%
90d: -17.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: H shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$237.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.29
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $163.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $165.42 to $180.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.5) compared to its historical average (38.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, H is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $157.29, while resistance sits at $174.29.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.83 (+20.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $165.42 - $180.56
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($196.83)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $165.42 - $180.56
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $157.29
Resistance Level $174.30
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.47
Wall Street Target $196.83 (+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 110.5%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 33.5 vs 38.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $155.73 (-5%)
2-Year Target $148.72 (-9%)
3-Year Target $142.03 (-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→39) $163.39 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.5, Growth: 35.6%) $406.35 (+149%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 35.6%) $244.89 (+50%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 35.6%) $208.16 (+28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 28.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.82
Bull Case $196.91 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case $163.07 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case $124.75 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.5 to 38.5
Stabilization Target: $187.59 (+15.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +15.0%
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jnp 2010-Pg Trust SELL 213434 shares 2026-04-17
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-23
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-19

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