H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation
$171.58
-2.48 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-10.25%
30d:
-10.3%
90d:
+4.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: H shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: H shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $171.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $182.46 to $194.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.0) compared to its historical average (39.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.87, while resistance sits at $193.44.
Market Sentiment: H has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.70 (+14.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.87, while resistance sits at $193.44.
Market Sentiment: H has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.70 (+14.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$182.46 -
$194.80
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($196.70)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$182.46 -
$194.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.87
Resistance Level
$193.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.04
Wall Street Target
$196.70
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.0 vs 39.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$165.57
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$159.78
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$154.19
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→39)
$171.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.0, Growth: 35.8%)
$429.36
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 35.8%)
$254.01
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 35.8%)
$215.91
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 43.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.95
Bull Case
$207.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 45.7
Base Case
$171.58
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case
$131.26
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 39.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.0 to 39.0
Stabilization Target:
$190.97
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is H showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-17
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400 shares
2026-03-23
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400 shares
2026-03-19
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