Hyatt Hotels (H) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation
$172.58
-4.38 (-2.48%)
▼
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
+8.52%
90d:
-9.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: H shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: H shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $172.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $155.98 to $169.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.4) is in line with its historical norms (37.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $159.78, while resistance sits at $180.21.
Market Sentiment: H scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.44 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $159.78, while resistance sits at $180.21.
Market Sentiment: H scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.44 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$155.98 -
$169.13
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($196.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$155.98 -
$169.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$159.78
Resistance Level
$180.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.43
Wall Street Target
$196.44
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.4 vs 37.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$174.84
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$172.74
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$170.67
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→38)
$177.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.4, Growth: 35.5%)
$440.58
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.5%)
$240.16
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 35.5%)
$204.13
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 27.93 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.34
Bull Case
$213.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$176.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$135.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.4 to 37.8
Stabilization Target:
$183.59
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is H showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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